Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:33:25

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
69.1 neutral
20d Trend
+5.2%
5d Trend
+6.0%
EMA20 Dist
+4.1%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
69%
Bounce Ratio
8.0×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.8

30-Day Momentum

39
+4.0%
30d Return
42%
Win Rate
12
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 42.6 Conf: 0.93×
Accelerating (+36 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,145.64
Current Value
$8,438.79
Period P&L
$293.13
Max Drawdown
-16.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.31

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+2.71%
Worst Trade
-1.61%
Avg Trade Return
+0.34%
Avg Hold Time
15.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$193,785.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$293.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$293.13
Gross Return
+3.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AAPL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,145.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $257.88 31 $7,994.28
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $256.93 31 $7,964.98 $8,085.21 $-29.30
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $260.00 31 $8,060.00
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $259.82 31 $8,054.42 $8,079.63 $-5.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $258.77 31 $8,021.72
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $257.98 31 $7,997.53 $8,055.45 $-24.18
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $263.21 30 $7,896.30
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $270.34 30 $8,110.20 $8,269.35 +$213.90
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 2:15pm ET $266.83 30 $8,005.05
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $266.62 30 $7,998.60 $8,262.90 $-6.45
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $272.98 30 $8,189.40
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:15am ET $273.39 30 $8,201.70 $8,275.20 +$12.30
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:10pm ET $270.26 30 $8,107.80
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.92 30 $7,977.60 $8,145.00 $-130.20
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:45pm ET $270.08 30 $8,102.40
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:55pm ET $270.05 30 $8,101.50 $8,144.10 $-0.90
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:00pm ET $270.17 30 $8,105.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 3:45pm ET $269.80 30 $8,094.15 $8,133.15 $-10.95
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $278.94 29 $8,089.26
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $282.57 29 $8,194.53 $8,238.42 +$105.27
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
11 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 1:10pm ET $276.98 29 $8,032.42
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $281.92 29 $8,175.54 $8,381.53 +$143.11
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
12 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $290.25 28 $8,127.00
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $292.30 28 $8,184.26 $8,438.79 +$57.26
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,438.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,561.21
Total Return: -15.61%
Back to Grace Crossover