Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:47:48

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.2 oversold
20d Trend
-17.1%
5d Trend
-11.3%
EMA20 Dist
-10.7%
ATR%
4.7%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,317.34
Current Value
$7,893.63
Period P&L
$-423.73
Max Drawdown
-7.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+2.35%
Worst Trade
-3.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.43%
Avg Hold Time
16.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$163,941.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-423.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-423.73
Gross Return
-5.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ACN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,317.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $184.60 44 $8,122.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $186.00 44 $8,184.00 $8,311.86 +$61.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:05pm ET $186.62 44 $8,211.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $184.92 44 $8,136.48 $8,237.28 $-74.58
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $184.15 44 $8,102.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.47 44 $8,292.68 $8,427.36 +$190.08
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $189.82 44 $8,352.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $189.59 44 $8,341.96 $8,417.02 $-10.34
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $188.18 44 $8,279.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $187.92 44 $8,268.48 $8,405.58 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $178.42 47 $8,385.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:45pm ET $177.76 47 $8,354.72 $8,374.51 $-31.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 47 $8,333.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $177.85 47 $8,358.95 $8,399.89 +$25.38
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:55am ET $194.43 43 $8,360.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $190.54 43 $8,193.22 $8,232.62 $-167.27
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $192.76 42 $8,096.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 11:30am ET $185.22 42 $7,779.24 $7,915.77 $-316.85
(-3.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:35pm ET $183.84 43 $7,904.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:50am ET $183.32 43 $7,882.76 $7,893.63 $-22.14
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,893.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,106.37
Total Return: -21.06%
Back to Grace Crossover