Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:56:42

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
30.4 neutral
20d Trend
-15.2%
5d Trend
-20.7%
EMA20 Dist
-16.9%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

10
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.3/35
Total Return
4.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 9.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.9

30-Day Momentum

75
+13.1%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
6.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 85.9 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+65 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,083.82
Current Value
$10,271.74
Period P&L
$1,187.84
Max Drawdown
-38.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.42

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+10.03%
Worst Trade
-0.61%
Avg Trade Return
+1.29%
Avg Hold Time
21.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,416.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,187.84
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,187.84
Gross Return
+13.08%
Net Return (after fees)
+13.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,083.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $476.92 19 $9,061.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $475.04 19 $9,025.76 $9,048.18 $-35.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:20pm ET $471.30 19 $8,954.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:10am ET $468.76 19 $8,906.44 $8,999.92 $-48.26
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $459.92 19 $8,738.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $457.13 19 $8,685.47 $8,946.91 $-53.01
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:15pm ET $457.16 19 $8,686.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:30pm ET $457.17 19 $8,686.23 $8,947.10 +$0.19
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $514.14 17 $8,740.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $522.51 17 $8,882.67 $9,089.48 +$142.38
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $511.18 17 $8,690.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $511.90 17 $8,702.30 $9,101.63 +$12.15
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $501.13 18 $9,020.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:15am ET $503.01 18 $9,054.09 $9,135.47 +$33.84
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $534.35 17 $9,083.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $546.47 17 $9,289.99 $9,341.51 +$206.04
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $544.97 17 $9,264.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:40am ET $599.65 17 $10,194.05 $10,271.10 +$929.59
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:35pm ET $617.16 16 $9,874.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:40am ET $617.20 16 $9,875.20 $10,271.74 +$0.64
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,271.74
Net Profit/Loss: +$271.74
Total Return: +2.72%
Back to Grace Crossover