Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:06

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+13.8%
5d Trend
+8.9%
EMA20 Dist
+7.0%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
95%
Bounce Ratio
3.1×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

52
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
27.6/35
Total Return
13.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 52.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 52.1

30-Day Momentum

24
+1.6%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.7 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-28 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,542.88
Current Value
$14,619.69
Period P&L
$76.75
Max Drawdown
-5.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.13

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+2.30%
Worst Trade
-1.40%
Avg Trade Return
+0.13%
Avg Hold Time
19.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$310,396.72
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$76.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$76.75
Gross Return
+0.53%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,542.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $441.35 32 $14,123.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:55am ET $442.95 32 $14,174.56 $14,473.02 +$51.52
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $441.54 32 $14,129.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:35pm ET $441.15 32 $14,116.80 $14,460.54 $-12.48
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $432.81 33 $14,282.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $426.77 33 $14,083.41 $14,261.22 $-199.32
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $433.48 32 $13,871.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:55am ET $432.39 32 $13,836.64 $14,226.50 $-34.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $437.52 32 $14,000.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $443.31 32 $14,185.92 $14,411.78 +$185.28
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:20pm ET $392.44 36 $14,127.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:50pm ET $390.84 36 $14,070.24 $14,354.18 $-57.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $381.95 37 $14,132.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:45am ET $378.66 37 $14,010.53 $14,232.56 $-121.62
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $377.77 37 $13,977.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:50pm ET $378.24 37 $13,994.88 $14,249.76 +$17.20
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $378.30 37 $13,997.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $380.23 37 $14,068.51 $14,321.17 +$71.41
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:40pm ET $383.43 37 $14,186.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $392.24 37 $14,513.06 $14,647.34 +$326.17
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $407.73 35 $14,270.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 10:30am ET $406.94 35 $14,242.90 $14,619.69 $-27.65
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,619.69
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,619.69
Total Return: +46.20%
Back to Grace Crossover