Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:38:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

6
-4.5%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,378.39
Current Value
$8,943.58
Period P&L
$-434.81
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-2.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.53%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$161,731.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-434.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$-434.81
Gross Return
-4.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,378.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $262.67 35 $9,193.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $262.15 35 $9,175.25 $9,360.02 $-18.37
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:55pm ET $260.68 35 $9,123.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:20am ET $260.23 35 $9,108.05 $9,344.27 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:40pm ET $265.75 35 $9,301.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $259.21 35 $9,072.35 $9,115.37 $-228.90
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $259.17 35 $9,070.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:00pm ET $256.30 35 $8,970.50 $9,014.92 $-100.45
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:05pm ET $251.95 35 $8,818.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $251.76 35 $8,811.60 $9,008.27 $-6.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $254.04 35 $8,891.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $253.43 35 $8,869.88 $8,986.57 $-21.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:15am ET $248.15 36 $8,933.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $247.62 36 $8,914.32 $8,967.31 $-19.26
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $251.52 35 $8,803.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $253.16 35 $8,860.60 $9,024.71 +$57.40
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $255.62 35 $8,946.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $253.30 35 $8,865.57 $8,943.58 $-81.13
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,943.58
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,056.42
Total Return: -10.56%
Back to Grace Crossover