Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:34:53

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.1 oversold
20d Trend
-18.5%
5d Trend
-17.4%
EMA20 Dist
-14.4%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-12.0%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,970.12
Current Value
$8,776.35
Period P&L
$-1,193.77
Max Drawdown
-24.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.98

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+0.01%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
-1.59%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,428.37
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,193.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,193.77
Gross Return
-11.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AMZN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,970.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 11:35am ET $272.57 36 $9,812.52
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $266.29 36 $9,586.44 $9,744.04 $-226.08
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:55am ET $259.89 37 $9,615.93
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:20pm ET $249.43 37 $9,228.91 $9,357.02 $-387.02
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $254.07 36 $9,146.70
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 1:40pm ET $253.78 36 $9,136.08 $9,346.40 $-10.62
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $244.00 38 $9,272.00
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $244.03 38 $9,273.14 $9,347.54 +$1.14
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $238.72 39 $9,310.08
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $237.45 39 $9,260.63 $9,298.09 $-49.45
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $248.03 37 $9,177.11
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $237.93 37 $8,803.41 $8,924.39 $-373.70
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $244.42 36 $8,799.12
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $240.39 36 $8,654.04 $8,779.31 $-145.08
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:45am ET $234.53 37 $8,677.61
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:10am ET $234.45 37 $8,674.65 $8,776.35 $-2.96
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,776.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,223.65
Total Return: -12.24%
Back to Grace Crossover