Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:31:32

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 3.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-24.9%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,963.70
Current Value
$4,481.79
Period P&L
$-1,482.05
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.92

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
2 / 8
Best Trade
+2.67%
Worst Trade
-7.71%
Avg Trade Return
-2.84%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$96,776.44
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,482.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,482.05
Gross Return
-24.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-24.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,963.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $332.14 17 $5,646.46
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 10:00am ET $318.79 17 $5,419.43 $5,736.81 $-227.03
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 11:45am ET $342.92 16 $5,486.80
🔴 SELL Jul 1, 2026 1:05pm ET $340.74 16 $5,451.92 $5,701.93 $-34.88
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 6, 2026 3:25pm ET $324.88 17 $5,522.96
🔴 SELL Jul 7, 2026 9:30am ET $305.93 17 $5,200.81 $5,379.78 $-322.15
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 9:35am ET $304.63 17 $5,178.63
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 11:55am ET $291.85 17 $4,961.45 $5,162.61 $-217.17
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $333.91 15 $5,008.65
🔴 SELL Jul 10, 2026 11:00am ET $319.75 15 $4,796.25 $4,950.21 $-212.40
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 13, 2026 11:35am ET $306.59 16 $4,905.44
🔴 SELL Jul 14, 2026 9:35am ET $282.95 16 $4,527.20 $4,571.97 $-378.24
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
7 🟢 BUY Jul 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $272.23 16 $4,355.60
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2026 9:30am ET $261.38 16 $4,182.00 $4,398.37 $-173.60
(-4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2026 10:10am ET $260.79 16 $4,172.64
🔴 SELL Jul 17, 2026 2:35pm ET $267.75 16 $4,284.00 $4,509.73 +$111.36
(+2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jul 21, 2026 9:30am ET $285.53 15 $4,282.95
🔴 SELL Jul 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $290.75 15 $4,361.25 $4,588.03 +$78.30
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 22, 2026 3:50pm ET $285.57 16 $4,569.12
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $278.93 16 $4,462.88 $4,481.79 $-106.24
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,481.79
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,518.21
Total Return: -55.18%
Back to Grace Crossover