Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:46:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

51
+9.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 60.7 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+48 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,046.52
Current Value
$4,250.25
Period P&L
$203.58
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+8.37%
Worst Trade
-3.42%
Avg Trade Return
+0.49%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$87,801.93
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$203.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$203.58
Gross Return
+5.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,046.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:35am ET $238.97 16 $3,823.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $237.85 16 $3,805.60 $4,028.74 $-17.92
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:50pm ET $242.42 16 $3,878.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:10am ET $240.12 16 $3,841.92 $3,991.94 $-36.80
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $251.34 15 $3,770.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $250.42 15 $3,756.30 $3,978.14 $-13.80
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $242.79 16 $3,884.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 10:30am ET $240.46 16 $3,847.36 $3,940.86 $-37.28
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:45am ET $235.90 16 $3,774.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 12:20pm ET $234.02 16 $3,744.32 $3,910.78 $-30.08
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $233.57 16 $3,737.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $241.70 16 $3,867.20 $4,040.86 +$130.08
(+3.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $251.39 16 $4,022.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:40am ET $272.42 16 $4,358.72 $4,377.34 +$336.48
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:00pm ET $256.57 17 $4,361.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $254.70 17 $4,329.82 $4,345.47 $-31.88
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $243.13 17 $4,133.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $242.07 17 $4,115.19 $4,327.49 $-17.98
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $243.40 17 $4,137.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:30pm ET $247.46 17 $4,206.82 $4,396.50 +$69.01
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.2h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:20pm ET $328.90 13 $4,275.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $317.65 13 $4,129.51 $4,250.25 $-146.25
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,250.25
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,749.75
Total Return: -57.50%
Back to Grace Crossover