Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:18

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
32.7 neutral
20d Trend
-13.0%
5d Trend
-6.9%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
4.0%
Range Pos
10%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

48
+5.4%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
3.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.1 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+44 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,891.87
Current Value
$9,212.47
Period P&L
$320.61
Max Drawdown
-26.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.21

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+4.57%
Worst Trade
-1.74%
Avg Trade Return
+0.31%
Avg Hold Time
18.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$218,528.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$320.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$320.61
Gross Return
+3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AVGO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,891.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $352.40 25 $8,810.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 1:45pm ET $368.50 25 $9,212.50 $9,294.24 +$402.38
(+4.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $368.44 25 $9,211.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:45am ET $367.13 25 $9,178.25 $9,261.49 $-32.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $366.83 25 $9,170.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 2:05pm ET $368.64 25 $9,216.00 $9,306.74 +$45.25
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:55pm ET $368.93 25 $9,223.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:30pm ET $367.58 25 $9,189.50 $9,272.99 $-33.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 10:30am ET $358.44 25 $8,961.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $356.27 25 $8,906.63 $9,218.62 $-54.37
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $368.55 25 $9,213.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:40pm ET $367.89 25 $9,197.13 $9,202.12 $-16.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:30am ET $363.13 25 $9,078.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:30pm ET $363.52 25 $9,088.00 $9,211.87 +$9.75
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $365.16 25 $9,129.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:40pm ET $364.31 25 $9,107.75 $9,190.62 $-21.25
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $339.52 27 $9,167.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $339.32 27 $9,161.64 $9,185.09 $-5.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $347.21 26 $9,027.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:35pm ET $348.02 26 $9,048.52 $9,206.15 +$21.06
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $354.86 25 $8,871.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:45am ET $361.53 25 $9,038.25 $9,373.02 +$166.87
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $355.42 26 $9,240.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $349.24 26 $9,080.24 $9,212.47 $-160.55
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,212.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-787.53
Total Return: -7.88%
Back to Grace Crossover