Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:10:47

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.8 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.3%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
26%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

12
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 12.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 12.1

30-Day Momentum

10
-3.6%
30d Return
15%
Win Rate
13
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.95×
Cooling (-3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,752.23
Current Value
$10,359.31
Period P&L
$-392.95
Max Drawdown
-8.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.59

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+0.65%
Worst Trade
-1.69%
Avg Trade Return
-0.30%
Avg Hold Time
7.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$259,277.96
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-392.95
Net P&L (after fees)
$-392.95
Gross Return
-3.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BLK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,752.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $1,168.10 9 $10,512.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $1,164.01 9 $10,476.09 $10,715.48 $-36.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,176.26 9 $10,586.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $1,174.84 9 $10,573.56 $10,702.70 $-12.78
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $1,178.27 9 $10,604.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:10pm ET $1,177.00 9 $10,593.00 $10,691.27 $-11.43
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $1,153.48 9 $10,381.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,153.67 9 $10,382.99 $10,692.94 +$1.67
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $1,132.90 9 $10,196.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,113.75 9 $10,023.75 $10,520.59 $-172.35
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $1,120.00 9 $10,080.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,119.12 9 $10,072.08 $10,512.67 $-7.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,082.53 9 $9,742.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,080.56 9 $9,725.00 $10,494.90 $-17.77
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $1,078.40 9 $9,705.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,085.37 9 $9,768.33 $10,557.67 +$62.77
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:15pm ET $1,065.89 9 $9,593.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,058.76 9 $9,528.84 $10,493.50 $-64.17
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET $1,058.81 9 $9,529.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET $1,055.92 9 $9,503.28 $10,467.49 $-26.01
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:20pm ET $1,058.78 9 $9,529.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,056.27 9 $9,506.43 $10,444.90 $-22.59
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $1,084.05 9 $9,756.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:50am ET $1,076.56 9 $9,689.08 $10,377.53 $-67.37
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 12:30pm ET $1,068.70 9 $9,618.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,066.68 9 $9,600.08 $10,359.31 $-18.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,359.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$359.31
Total Return: +3.59%
Back to Grace Crossover