Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:45:02

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
7.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 13.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

45
+11.5%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 52.1 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,931.54
Current Value
$10,606.25
Period P&L
$674.67
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+8.50%
Worst Trade
-4.43%
Avg Trade Return
+0.68%
Avg Hold Time
17.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$221,747.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$674.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$674.67
Gross Return
+6.79%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.79%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,931.54 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $188.81 52 $9,818.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:35pm ET $180.81 52 $9,402.12 $9,515.58 $-416.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $181.47 52 $9,436.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $190.18 52 $9,889.36 $9,968.50 +$452.92
(+4.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $177.31 56 $9,929.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $174.30 56 $9,760.80 $9,799.83 $-168.67
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $181.26 54 $9,788.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:20pm ET $192.10 54 $10,373.55 $10,385.34 +$585.51
(+6.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:05pm ET $185.47 55 $10,200.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:10pm ET $181.00 55 $9,955.00 $10,139.49 $-245.85
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:00pm ET $178.15 56 $9,976.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:05pm ET $177.60 56 $9,945.32 $10,108.69 $-30.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $173.56 58 $10,066.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:55am ET $177.68 58 $10,305.44 $10,347.65 +$238.96
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET $181.40 57 $10,339.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $173.36 57 $9,881.52 $9,889.65 $-458.00
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $168.38 58 $9,766.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $182.70 58 $10,596.31 $10,719.92 +$830.27
(+8.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $203.57 52 $10,585.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:25pm ET $202.88 52 $10,549.76 $10,684.30 $-35.62
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:30am ET $200.56 53 $10,629.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:50am ET $199.09 53 $10,551.77 $10,606.25 $-78.05
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,606.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$606.25
Total Return: +6.06%
Back to Grace Crossover