Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-23 17:43:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
68.2 neutral
20d Trend
+5.1%
5d Trend
+5.5%
EMA20 Dist
+3.1%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.3/35
Total Return
7.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.8/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 16.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 16.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-23
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,028.92
Current Value
$10,764.63
Period P&L
$-264.32
Max Drawdown
-8.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.51

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
3 / 9
Best Trade
+0.58%
Worst Trade
-2.52%
Avg Trade Return
-0.39%
Avg Hold Time
23h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$253,517.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-264.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-264.32
Gross Return
-2.40%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COST Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,028.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:10pm ET $1,030.56 10 $10,305.64
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 10:55am ET $1,004.63 10 $10,046.30 $10,989.40 $-259.34
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9d held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 12:40pm ET $1,001.32 10 $10,013.20
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $996.66 10 $9,966.55 $10,942.75 $-46.65
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:10pm ET $952.97 11 $10,482.67
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:45pm ET $949.15 11 $10,440.60 $10,900.68 $-42.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 3:50pm ET $954.42 11 $10,498.62
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 11:25am ET $960.00 11 $10,560.00 $10,962.06 +$61.38
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $980.23 11 $10,782.58
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $977.79 11 $10,755.69 $10,935.16 $-26.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:05am ET $977.95 11 $10,757.40
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:30pm ET $973.02 11 $10,703.22 $10,880.99 $-54.17
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:35am ET $971.56 11 $10,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:10pm ET $975.62 11 $10,731.82 $10,925.65 +$44.66
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $980.72 11 $10,787.87
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:10pm ET $972.77 11 $10,700.47 $10,838.25 $-87.40
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $979.05 11 $10,769.55
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:25pm ET $981.34 11 $10,794.74 $10,863.44 +$25.19
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $987.13 11 $10,858.43
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $982.92 11 $10,812.17 $10,817.18 $-46.26
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $951.73 11 $10,469.03
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $948.57 11 $10,434.22 $10,782.37 $-34.81
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $962.60 11 $10,588.60
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $960.99 11 $10,570.86 $10,764.63 $-17.74
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,764.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$764.63
Total Return: +7.65%
Back to Grace Crossover