Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:37:26

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.8/35
Total Return
11.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 22.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 21.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-0.9%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,157.75
Current Value
$12,050.96
Period P&L
$-106.75
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+6.56%
Worst Trade
-2.31%
Avg Trade Return
-0.07%
Avg Hold Time
21.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$223,264.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-106.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$-106.75
Gross Return
-0.88%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.88%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,157.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $180.33 67 $12,082.11
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:15pm ET $192.16 67 $12,874.72 $12,950.32 +$792.61
(+6.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $198.29 65 $12,888.85
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $194.71 65 $12,656.47 $12,717.95 $-232.37
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $189.85 66 $12,530.10
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $189.39 66 $12,499.74 $12,687.59 $-30.36
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $186.76 67 $12,512.92
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 3:15pm ET $186.35 67 $12,485.45 $12,660.12 $-27.47
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $174.42 72 $12,558.24
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $170.62 72 $12,284.64 $12,386.52 $-273.60
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:35pm ET $166.26 74 $12,302.87
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:05pm ET $166.29 74 $12,305.83 $12,389.48 +$2.96
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 9:50am ET $165.63 74 $12,256.62
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 10:00am ET $164.85 74 $12,198.90 $12,331.76 $-57.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:40pm ET $153.22 80 $12,257.60
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 10:10am ET $153.26 80 $12,261.20 $12,335.36 +$3.60
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:20am ET $153.71 80 $12,296.40
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:00pm ET $150.15 80 $12,012.00 $12,050.96 $-284.40
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,050.96
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,050.96
Total Return: +20.51%
Back to Grace Crossover