Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:20

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+11.3%
5d Trend
+5.7%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
89%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.6/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 42.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 41.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.5%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.2 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-33 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,637.23
Current Value
$13,443.90
Period P&L
$-193.36
Max Drawdown
-5.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+0.86%
Worst Trade
-0.93%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
18.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,316.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-193.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-193.36
Gross Return
-1.42%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.42%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CSCO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,637.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET $110.58 123 $13,601.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $110.71 123 $13,617.32 $13,653.24 +$15.98
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $111.58 122 $13,612.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $111.66 122 $13,622.53 $13,663.01 +$9.77
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:05pm ET $112.06 121 $13,559.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:35am ET $111.02 121 $13,433.42 $13,537.17 $-125.84
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $109.09 124 $13,527.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:05pm ET $109.11 124 $13,529.64 $13,539.65 +$2.48
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $109.32 123 $13,446.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $108.91 123 $13,395.93 $13,489.22 $-50.43
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:40am ET $109.49 123 $13,467.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:55am ET $109.21 123 $13,433.44 $13,455.39 $-33.83
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $110.93 121 $13,422.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:05pm ET $111.10 121 $13,442.80 $13,475.66 +$20.27
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 3:15pm ET $110.15 122 $13,438.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:45pm ET $109.97 122 $13,416.95 $13,453.70 $-21.96
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $109.76 122 $13,391.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:35pm ET $108.75 122 $13,267.50 $13,329.87 $-123.83
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $105.46 126 $13,287.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:40pm ET $106.36 126 $13,401.99 $13,443.90 +$114.03
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,443.90
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,443.90
Total Return: +34.44%
Back to Grace Crossover