Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:23

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.5 overbought
20d Trend
+9.1%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
90%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.8/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 27.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 26.8

30-Day Momentum

35
+2.9%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
3.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 41.7 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+8 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,035.28
Current Value
$12,469.34
Period P&L
$434.09
Max Drawdown
-10.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+2.17%
Worst Trade
-0.28%
Avg Trade Return
+0.36%
Avg Hold Time
19.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$243,622.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$434.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$434.09
Gross Return
+3.61%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.61%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CVX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,035.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 3:20pm ET $201.15 59 $11,867.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:05pm ET $201.14 59 $11,867.26 $12,034.66 $-0.59
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:45am ET $200.40 60 $12,024.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 11:25am ET $204.74 60 $12,284.40 $12,295.06 +$260.40
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $212.54 57 $12,114.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:10am ET $211.96 57 $12,081.72 $12,262.00 $-33.06
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:50am ET $209.31 58 $12,139.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $208.98 58 $12,121.00 $12,243.02 $-18.98
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $210.39 58 $12,202.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $212.35 58 $12,316.59 $12,357.00 +$113.98
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:40am ET $213.34 57 $12,160.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:50am ET $213.01 57 $12,141.57 $12,338.19 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:30pm ET $215.31 57 $12,272.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:30pm ET $216.64 57 $12,348.48 $12,414.00 +$75.81
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $210.81 58 $12,226.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $210.83 58 $12,228.14 $12,415.36 +$1.36
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $205.32 60 $12,318.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $204.75 60 $12,285.00 $12,381.46 $-33.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 9:35am ET $204.44 60 $12,266.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $205.90 60 $12,354.00 $12,469.34 +$87.88
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,469.34
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,469.34
Total Return: +24.69%
Back to Grace Crossover