Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:27:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.5 oversold
20d Trend
-25.9%
5d Trend
-7.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.7%
ATR%
5.3%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.3/35
Total Return
8.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 15.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 14.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-11.0%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,285.70
Current Value
$10,934.76
Period P&L
$-1,351.00
Max Drawdown
-25.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.67

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+2.59%
Worst Trade
-4.39%
Avg Trade Return
-1.42%
Avg Hold Time
21.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$188,114.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,351.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,351.00
Gross Return
-11.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DKNG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,285.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $24.90 493 $12,273.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:20am ET $24.22 493 $11,940.46 $11,952.98 $-332.78
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:40am ET $24.74 483 $11,947.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $24.49 483 $11,826.26 $11,832.23 $-120.75
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $24.41 484 $11,814.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:40pm ET $24.40 484 $11,807.18 $11,824.97 $-7.26
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:55am ET $23.75 497 $11,803.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $23.40 497 $11,629.80 $11,651.02 $-173.95
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $23.72 491 $11,644.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:40am ET $24.33 491 $11,946.03 $11,952.98 +$301.96
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:10pm ET $24.93 479 $11,941.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:10pm ET $24.84 479 $11,900.75 $11,912.26 $-40.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $24.32 489 $11,892.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:55pm ET $23.34 489 $11,415.70 $11,435.48 $-476.78
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $22.39 510 $11,416.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $21.40 510 $10,915.63 $10,934.76 $-500.72
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,934.76
Net Profit/Loss: +$934.76
Total Return: +9.35%
Back to Grace Crossover