Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:20

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
48.3 neutral
20d Trend
+3.5%
5d Trend
-2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.0%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
51%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

43
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
20.0/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.0/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 43.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 42.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.2%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-34 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,577.28
Current Value
$13,489.28
Period P&L
$-88.00
Max Drawdown
-6.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+2.45%
Worst Trade
-0.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.05%
Avg Hold Time
18h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$296,638.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-88.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$-88.00
Gross Return
-0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GLD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,577.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 9:30am ET $428.58 31 $13,285.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:50am ET $426.46 31 $13,220.26 $13,511.56 $-65.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 10:45am ET $421.27 32 $13,480.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $422.00 32 $13,504.00 $13,534.92 +$23.36
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $406.71 33 $13,421.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:10pm ET $406.45 33 $13,412.85 $13,526.34 $-8.58
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $401.47 33 $13,248.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $411.32 33 $13,573.56 $13,851.25 +$324.91
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $406.20 34 $13,810.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $403.56 34 $13,721.04 $13,761.49 $-89.76
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $406.18 33 $13,403.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $402.27 33 $13,274.91 $13,632.46 $-129.03
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:25pm ET $400.05 34 $13,601.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:15am ET $400.12 34 $13,604.23 $13,634.99 +$2.53
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:40am ET $393.94 34 $13,393.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $394.88 34 $13,425.92 $13,666.95 +$31.96
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $398.94 34 $13,563.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:05pm ET $398.18 34 $13,538.12 $13,641.26 $-25.69
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:40am ET $399.42 34 $13,580.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:55am ET $398.78 34 $13,558.52 $13,619.50 $-21.76
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:35am ET $399.18 34 $13,572.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $395.36 34 $13,442.07 $13,489.28 $-130.22
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,489.28
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,489.28
Total Return: +34.89%
Back to Grace Crossover