Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.4/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.7/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 21.0/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 20.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.8%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,287.61
Current Value
$12,189.86
Period P&L
$-97.73
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.34%
Worst Trade
-0.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.08%
Avg Hold Time
11.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$241,148.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-97.73
Net P&L (after fees)
$-97.73
Gross Return
-0.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,287.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $349.17 35 $12,220.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:30pm ET $346.56 35 $12,129.60 $12,196.41 $-91.18
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:50pm ET $341.62 35 $11,956.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $341.34 35 $11,946.90 $12,186.61 $-9.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:25pm ET $338.64 35 $11,852.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $335.59 35 $11,745.65 $12,079.69 $-106.92
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $338.04 35 $11,831.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $342.58 35 $11,990.13 $12,238.42 +$158.73
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:55am ET $337.33 36 $12,143.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $338.20 36 $12,175.20 $12,269.74 +$31.32
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:55pm ET $330.53 37 $12,229.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $328.13 37 $12,140.74 $12,180.87 $-88.87
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $343.20 35 $12,012.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $346.89 35 $12,141.15 $12,310.02 +$129.15
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $346.20 35 $12,116.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $344.80 35 $12,067.83 $12,261.02 $-49.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $350.00 35 $12,250.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $348.81 35 $12,208.35 $12,219.37 $-41.65
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $353.22 34 $12,009.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $352.35 34 $11,979.97 $12,189.86 $-29.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,189.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,189.86
Total Return: +21.90%
Back to Grace Crossover