Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 19:15:17

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
36.7 neutral
20d Trend
-7.0%
5d Trend
-5.4%
EMA20 Dist
-4.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
59%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

49
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.0/35
Total Return
14.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.3/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 49.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 49.4

30-Day Momentum

32
+2.4%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.6 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-18 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,695.96
Current Value
$15,727.84
Period P&L
$31.92
Max Drawdown
-8.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+3.03%
Worst Trade
-1.99%
Avg Trade Return
+0.03%
Avg Hold Time
17.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$371,565.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$31.92
Net P&L (after fees)
$31.92
Gross Return
+0.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,695.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $1,035.41 15 $15,531.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,033.43 15 $15,501.45 $15,666.22 $-29.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:40pm ET $1,040.31 15 $15,604.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:15am ET $1,037.27 15 $15,559.05 $15,620.62 $-45.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:50am ET $1,040.87 15 $15,613.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:55am ET $1,040.43 15 $15,606.38 $15,613.95 $-6.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,026.66 15 $15,399.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,025.27 15 $15,378.98 $15,593.10 $-20.85
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 2:50pm ET $1,002.66 15 $15,039.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:15pm ET $1,033.08 15 $15,496.20 $16,049.40 +$456.30
(+3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $1,039.80 15 $15,596.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:40pm ET $1,036.61 15 $15,549.15 $16,001.62 $-47.78
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 11:15am ET $1,025.34 15 $15,380.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 11:30am ET $1,024.49 15 $15,367.35 $15,988.87 $-12.75
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:00pm ET $1,003.52 15 $15,052.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:10pm ET $1,000.04 15 $15,000.60 $15,936.67 $-52.20
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $960.59 16 $15,369.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET $968.91 16 $15,502.56 $16,069.79 +$133.12
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $944.27 17 $16,052.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:05pm ET $943.52 17 $16,039.76 $16,056.95 $-12.84
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:55am ET $947.21 16 $15,155.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $946.52 16 $15,144.32 $16,045.91 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:10pm ET $939.47 17 $15,970.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $920.76 17 $15,652.92 $15,727.84 $-318.07
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,727.84
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,727.84
Total Return: +57.28%
Back to Grace Crossover