Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:06:06

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
58.5 neutral
20d Trend
+2.0%
5d Trend
+2.1%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
2.0%
Range Pos
82%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

6
-5.2%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,674.42
Current Value
$9,178.72
Period P&L
$-495.71
Max Drawdown
-11.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.81

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
1 / 8
Best Trade
+0.09%
Worst Trade
-2.79%
Avg Trade Return
-0.67%
Avg Hold Time
16.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$166,657.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-495.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$-495.71
Gross Return
-5.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,674.42 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:50pm ET $336.45 28 $9,420.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:25pm ET $335.87 28 $9,404.36 $9,726.50 $-16.10
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:45am ET $328.96 29 $9,539.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 12:20pm ET $327.85 29 $9,507.65 $9,694.25 $-32.25
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $328.12 29 $9,515.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:50am ET $318.95 29 $9,249.55 $9,428.32 $-265.93
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:05am ET $317.98 29 $9,221.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:10pm ET $318.27 29 $9,229.83 $9,436.73 +$8.41
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $311.11 30 $9,333.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:00pm ET $310.74 30 $9,322.20 $9,425.63 $-11.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:55pm ET $311.05 30 $9,331.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 12:40pm ET $307.26 30 $9,217.71 $9,311.84 $-113.79
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:00am ET $301.46 30 $9,043.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $300.16 30 $9,004.80 $9,272.84 $-39.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $302.70 30 $9,081.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $301.50 30 $9,045.00 $9,236.84 $-36.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $294.32 31 $9,123.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:05pm ET $292.44 31 $9,065.64 $9,178.72 $-58.13
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,178.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-821.28
Total Return: -8.21%
Back to Grace Crossover