Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
16.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-9.3%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-31 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,598.16
Current Value
$18,736.77
Period P&L
$-2,861.37
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.63

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+1.25%
Worst Trade
-4.40%
Avg Trade Return
-1.27%
Avg Hold Time
15.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$444,136.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,861.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,861.37
Gross Return
-13.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $21,598.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:45am ET $107.38 201 $21,583.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $102.80 201 $20,662.80 $20,677.56 $-920.58
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:35pm ET $109.33 189 $20,663.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:40pm ET $110.69 189 $20,921.35 $20,935.64 +$258.08
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $103.87 201 $20,877.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:50am ET $105.05 201 $21,115.05 $21,172.82 +$237.18
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:30pm ET $124.11 170 $21,098.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $121.00 170 $20,570.00 $20,644.12 $-528.70
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $125.07 165 $20,635.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 10:45am ET $122.15 165 $20,154.75 $20,163.14 $-480.98
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:55pm ET $117.11 172 $20,142.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:45pm ET $116.72 172 $20,075.84 $20,096.06 $-67.08
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 3:00pm ET $114.33 175 $20,007.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:45am ET $113.93 175 $19,937.75 $20,026.06 $-70.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 1:30pm ET $114.89 174 $19,991.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $111.50 174 $19,401.00 $19,435.33 $-590.73
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:30pm ET $105.59 184 $19,428.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:25am ET $106.43 184 $19,583.12 $19,589.89 +$154.56
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 1:50pm ET $124.33 157 $19,520.59 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $124.38 157 $19,527.74 $19,597.03 +$7.14
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $125.31 156 $19,548.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $119.79 156 $18,688.02 $18,736.77 $-860.26
(-4.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,736.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,736.77
Total Return: +87.37%
Back to Grace Crossover