Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
24.1 oversold
20d Trend
-14.4%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.4%
ATR%
3.0%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.8%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,028.32
Current Value
$8,874.95
Period P&L
$-153.26
Max Drawdown
-10.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+3.26%
Worst Trade
-2.22%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$187,180.04
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-153.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$-153.26
Gross Return
-1.70%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.70%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ISRG Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,028.32 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 3:50pm ET $380.26 23 $8,745.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:05pm ET $371.80 23 $8,551.40 $8,846.17 $-194.58
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:20am ET $369.69 23 $8,502.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:30pm ET $368.90 23 $8,484.81 $8,828.11 $-18.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:50pm ET $371.23 23 $8,538.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $366.72 23 $8,434.56 $8,724.38 $-103.73
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $368.66 23 $8,479.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $368.40 23 $8,473.20 $8,718.40 $-5.98
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 9:30am ET $374.79 23 $8,620.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $367.90 23 $8,461.70 $8,559.93 $-158.47
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 1:50pm ET $365.70 23 $8,411.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $359.80 23 $8,275.40 $8,424.23 $-135.70
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $351.51 23 $8,084.73 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $350.90 23 $8,070.70 $8,410.20 $-14.03
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:40pm ET $360.87 23 $8,299.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:20am ET $372.64 23 $8,570.72 $8,681.00 +$270.80
(+3.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:30am ET $373.77 23 $8,596.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:05pm ET $376.76 23 $8,665.37 $8,749.66 +$68.66
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:35pm ET $393.18 22 $8,649.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:35am ET $399.40 22 $8,786.80 $8,886.50 +$136.84
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $397.45 22 $8,744.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $396.93 22 $8,732.46 $8,874.95 $-11.55
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,874.95
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,125.05
Total Return: -11.25%
Back to Grace Crossover