Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:28

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.2 neutral
20d Trend
-2.2%
5d Trend
-1.3%
EMA20 Dist
-1.9%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
63%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
9.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 22.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 22.5

30-Day Momentum

3
-4.5%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,954.69
Current Value
$11,366.64
Period P&L
$-588.06
Max Drawdown
-8.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-1.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+0.05%
Worst Trade
-1.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,279.17
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-588.06
Net P&L (after fees)
$-588.06
Gross Return
-4.92%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.92%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IWM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,954.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:30pm ET $298.28 40 $11,931.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $297.85 40 $11,913.80 $11,937.30 $-17.40
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $298.67 39 $11,648.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:55pm ET $298.80 39 $11,653.39 $11,942.56 +$5.26
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:55pm ET $293.25 40 $11,730.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $292.10 40 $11,684.00 $11,896.56 $-46.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:00am ET $294.41 40 $11,776.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $293.67 40 $11,746.80 $11,866.96 $-29.60
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 11:05am ET $295.29 40 $11,811.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 1:50pm ET $289.50 40 $11,580.00 $11,635.56 $-231.40
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:00pm ET $288.73 40 $11,549.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:20pm ET $285.16 40 $11,406.40 $11,492.56 $-143.00
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $288.12 39 $11,236.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:00pm ET $285.65 39 $11,140.35 $11,396.23 $-96.33
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $281.26 40 $11,250.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $280.52 40 $11,220.81 $11,366.64 $-29.59
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,366.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,366.64
Total Return: +13.67%
Back to Grace Crossover