Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 02:27:21

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

8
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.4/35
Total Return
2.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 8.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 8.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.9%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,348.59
Current Value
$10,240.81
Period P&L
$-107.74
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.22%
Worst Trade
-1.29%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
13.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,328.75
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-107.74
Net P&L (after fees)
$-107.74
Gross Return
-1.04%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.04%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,348.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:05pm ET $273.09 38 $10,377.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:55am ET $272.56 38 $10,357.28 $10,403.27 $-20.14
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 3:25pm ET $270.26 38 $10,269.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $267.80 38 $10,176.40 $10,309.79 $-93.48
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:05am ET $266.31 38 $10,119.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:40am ET $265.85 38 $10,102.30 $10,292.31 $-17.48
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:50pm ET $266.37 38 $10,122.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:00pm ET $266.28 38 $10,118.64 $10,288.89 $-3.42
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:30pm ET $274.65 37 $10,162.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $274.60 37 $10,160.20 $10,287.04 $-1.85
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:15pm ET $278.13 36 $10,012.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:45pm ET $278.00 36 $10,008.00 $10,282.34 $-4.70
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $269.14 38 $10,227.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:50pm ET $269.60 38 $10,244.61 $10,299.44 +$17.10
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $270.50 38 $10,279.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:05am ET $267.00 38 $10,146.00 $10,166.44 $-133.00
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:35pm ET $267.95 37 $9,914.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $267.74 37 $9,906.38 $10,158.67 $-7.77
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $267.75 37 $9,906.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 3:15pm ET $267.74 37 $9,906.56 $10,158.48 $-0.19
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 11:20am ET $268.71 37 $9,942.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:05pm ET $267.65 37 $9,903.05 $10,119.26 $-39.22
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:15pm ET $268.17 37 $9,922.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:20am ET $271.45 37 $10,043.65 $10,240.81 +$121.55
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,240.81
Net Profit/Loss: +$240.81
Total Return: +2.41%
Back to Grace Crossover