Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:59:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33 neutral
20d Trend
-14.2%
5d Trend
-15.0%
EMA20 Dist
-11.4%
ATR%
6.1%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 26.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-14.3%
30d Return
17%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,800.73
Current Value
$14,474.14
Period P&L
$-2,326.63
Max Drawdown
-23.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+10.68%
Worst Trade
-4.83%
Avg Trade Return
-1.07%
Avg Hold Time
13.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$378,316.54
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,326.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,326.63
Gross Return
-13.85%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.85%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LCID Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $16,800.73 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:25pm ET $5.20 3,234 $16,800.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 10:30am ET $4.95 3,234 $16,024.47 $16,024.61 $-776.16
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:50pm ET $5.22 3,067 $16,023.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:50am ET $5.01 3,067 $15,367.20 $15,368.58 $-656.03
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:05am ET $4.97 3,095 $15,366.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $4.72 3,095 $14,623.87 $14,625.78 $-742.80
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:10am ET $4.65 3,146 $14,625.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.68 3,146 $14,707.55 $14,707.58 +$81.80
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:00pm ET $4.68 3,139 $14,706.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $4.49 3,139 $14,094.11 $14,095.47 $-612.11
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:20am ET $4.68 3,011 $14,091.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 12:30pm ET $4.68 3,011 $14,076.43 $14,080.42 $-15.05
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.28 3,285 $14,076.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:30am ET $4.16 3,285 $13,682.02 $13,686.22 $-394.20
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $4.30 3,182 $13,682.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:25pm ET $4.28 3,182 $13,603.05 $13,606.67 $-79.55
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 10:30am ET $4.12 3,302 $13,604.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:35pm ET $4.05 3,302 $13,389.61 $13,392.04 $-214.63
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.03 3,327 $13,391.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:45am ET $4.45 3,327 $14,821.78 $14,822.65 +$1,430.61
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $4.14 3,576 $14,822.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 1:25pm ET $4.12 3,576 $14,733.12 $14,733.25 $-89.40
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $4.25 3,466 $14,730.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 9:30am ET $4.16 3,466 $14,401.23 $14,403.98 $-329.27
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 11:40am ET $4.11 3,508 $14,400.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:55pm ET $4.13 3,508 $14,470.50 $14,474.14 +$70.16
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,474.14
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,474.14
Total Return: +44.74%
Back to Grace Crossover