Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-23 08:19:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
16.8
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.46%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.66
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.2
Unsettled
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-1.1%
ATR%
3.7%
Range Pos
72%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Jun 23, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
10.6/35
Total Return
13.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 32.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 31.8

30-Day Momentum

19
+2.1%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.0 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,482
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
19 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,787.87
Current Value
$14,079.00
Period P&L
$291.11
Max Drawdown
-13.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+5.00%
Worst Trade
-4.20%
Avg Trade Return
+0.28%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$242,948.51
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$291.11
Net P&L (after fees)
$291.11
Gross Return
+2.11%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 LLY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 19 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,787.87 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,085.54 12 $13,026.48
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $1,124.65 12 $13,495.74 $14,257.15 +$469.26
(+3.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,098.11 12 $13,177.32
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,094.32 12 $13,131.84 $14,211.67 $-45.48
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 11:20am ET $1,071.96 13 $13,935.43
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:40am ET $1,066.31 13 $13,861.97 $14,138.21 $-73.46
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $1,104.81 12 $13,257.66
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:45am ET $1,160.10 12 $13,921.20 $14,801.75 +$663.54
(+5.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:50pm ET $1,151.22 12 $13,814.70
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:50am ET $1,150.35 12 $13,804.26 $14,791.31 $-10.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:35pm ET $1,162.12 12 $13,945.44
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:35am ET $1,113.34 12 $13,360.08 $14,205.95 $-585.36
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:25am ET $1,129.92 12 $13,558.98
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,127.95 12 $13,535.40 $14,182.37 $-23.58
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:45pm ET $1,116.23 12 $13,394.81
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:55am ET $1,111.65 12 $13,339.80 $14,127.36 $-55.01
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $1,101.49 12 $13,217.88
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $1,097.46 12 $13,169.52 $14,079.00 $-48.36
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,079.00
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,079.00
Total Return: +40.79%
Back to Grace Crossover