Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 16:34:52

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.1/35
Total Return
9.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 22.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 22.5

30-Day Momentum

40
+4.2%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
2.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 47.6 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+18 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,907.55
Current Value
$11,360.45
Period P&L
$452.81
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.39

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
5 / 4
Best Trade
+2.91%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.46%
Avg Hold Time
22.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,115.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$452.81
Net P&L (after fees)
$452.81
Gross Return
+4.15%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.15%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,907.55 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 1:20pm ET $498.36 21 $10,465.56
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $492.95 21 $10,351.85 $10,793.93 $-113.71
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:45pm ET $469.10 23 $10,789.30
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $482.76 23 $11,103.48 $11,108.11 +$314.18
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $485.78 22 $10,687.16
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $485.15 22 $10,673.30 $11,094.25 $-13.86
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $494.01 22 $10,868.22
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:15pm ET $488.99 22 $10,757.78 $10,983.81 $-110.44
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:50am ET $488.15 22 $10,739.30
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 1:10pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.09 $11,026.60 +$42.79
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $490.11 22 $10,782.42
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:45pm ET $497.18 22 $10,937.96 $11,182.14 +$155.54
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:30pm ET $490.62 22 $10,793.64
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $490.10 22 $10,782.20 $11,170.70 $-11.44
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $490.88 22 $10,799.36
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $493.85 22 $10,864.70 $11,236.04 +$65.34
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:30pm ET $495.74 22 $10,906.28
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:45pm ET $501.39 22 $11,030.69 $11,360.45 +$124.41
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,360.45
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,360.45
Total Return: +13.60%
Back to Grace Crossover