Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 18:38:34

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
4.96%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.26%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
49.4 neutral
20d Trend
-5.1%
5d Trend
+1.5%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
2.3%
Range Pos
39%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.1/35
Total Return
10.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
6.1/10
Raw Quality 24.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.3%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,656.95
Current Value
$11,655.36
Period P&L
$-1.68
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+1.51%
Worst Trade
-0.70%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
12.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,785.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1.68
Gross Return
-0.01%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.01%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,656.95 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:25pm ET $597.66 19 $11,355.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $597.73 19 $11,356.96 $11,658.47 +$1.43
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:50am ET $593.15 19 $11,269.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:15pm ET $591.50 19 $11,238.50 $11,627.12 $-31.35
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:50pm ET $592.81 19 $11,263.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $588.66 19 $11,184.45 $11,548.18 $-78.94
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:00pm ET $588.36 19 $11,178.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $588.06 19 $11,173.14 $11,542.48 $-5.70
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $586.04 19 $11,134.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $585.36 19 $11,121.84 $11,529.56 $-12.92
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:15pm ET $569.00 20 $11,380.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $566.28 20 $11,325.50 $11,475.06 $-54.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:15pm ET $565.83 20 $11,316.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 11:25am ET $574.38 20 $11,487.60 $11,646.06 +$171.00
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 1:45pm ET $571.79 20 $11,435.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:00pm ET $571.61 20 $11,432.20 $11,642.46 $-3.60
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:30am ET $566.84 20 $11,336.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:55pm ET $567.81 20 $11,356.20 $11,661.86 +$19.40
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:10pm ET $565.71 20 $11,314.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $564.62 20 $11,292.40 $11,640.06 $-21.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $559.40 20 $11,188.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $558.28 20 $11,165.50 $11,617.56 $-22.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $561.00 20 $11,220.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:10am ET $562.89 20 $11,257.80 $11,655.36 +$37.80
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,655.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,655.36
Total Return: +16.55%
Back to Grace Crossover