Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:32

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
20.9 oversold
20d Trend
-40.9%
5d Trend
-30.4%
EMA20 Dist
-28.9%
ATR%
10.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 27.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.0

30-Day Momentum

25
+6.0%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,468.18
Current Value
$16,393.62
Period P&L
$925.45
Max Drawdown
-35.1%
Sharpe Ratio
0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+9.40%
Worst Trade
-4.71%
Avg Trade Return
+0.75%
Avg Hold Time
10.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$306,921.55
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$925.45
Net P&L (after fees)
$925.45
Gross Return
+5.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+5.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MARA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,468.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $11.19 1,381 $15,460.29 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:30am ET $12.13 1,381 $16,751.67 $16,759.54 +$1,291.37
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:45am ET $10.48 1,598 $16,750.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $10.48 1,598 $16,747.04 $16,756.18 $-3.36
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $10.22 1,640 $16,752.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $11.18 1,640 $18,327.00 $18,330.58 +$1,574.40
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:50pm ET $11.35 1,614 $18,326.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:35pm ET $11.29 1,614 $18,222.22 $18,225.83 $-104.75
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:35am ET $12.09 1,507 $18,219.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 9:35am ET $11.57 1,507 $17,435.99 $17,442.19 $-783.64
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:30am ET $11.41 1,528 $17,434.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:10pm ET $11.28 1,528 $17,243.48 $17,251.19 $-191.00
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $11.47 1,504 $17,250.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:05am ET $10.93 1,504 $16,438.72 $16,439.03 $-812.16
(-4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 12:35pm ET $13.47 1,220 $16,427.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 3:00pm ET $13.42 1,220 $16,375.82 $16,387.55 $-51.48
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:05pm ET $13.50 1,213 $16,375.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:50pm ET $13.51 1,213 $16,381.57 $16,393.62 +$6.07
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,393.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,393.62
Total Return: +63.94%
Back to Grace Crossover