Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:13

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.9%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,462.85
Current Value
$8,431.64
Period P&L
$-31.18
Max Drawdown
-16.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.61%
Worst Trade
-1.46%
Avg Trade Return
-0.04%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$164,806.15
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-31.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-31.18
Gross Return
-0.37%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.37%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,462.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:00pm ET $272.49 31 $8,447.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $271.38 31 $8,412.63 $8,428.10 $-34.72
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 2:25pm ET $267.09 31 $8,279.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $265.36 31 $8,226.16 $8,374.47 $-53.63
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 9:35am ET $261.62 32 $8,371.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:55pm ET $265.35 32 $8,491.04 $8,493.67 +$119.20
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:25pm ET $261.90 32 $8,380.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $258.07 32 $8,258.24 $8,371.11 $-122.56
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:25am ET $256.72 32 $8,215.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:20pm ET $255.82 32 $8,186.32 $8,342.39 $-28.72
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $253.60 32 $8,115.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:35pm ET $253.58 32 $8,114.56 $8,341.91 $-0.48
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $254.65 32 $8,148.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:05pm ET $250.98 32 $8,031.36 $8,224.63 $-117.28
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:25am ET $249.63 32 $7,988.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $249.41 32 $7,981.12 $8,217.59 $-7.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:50pm ET $248.17 33 $8,189.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 1:40pm ET $250.60 33 $8,269.96 $8,297.94 +$80.35
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $236.64 35 $8,282.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 12:55pm ET $240.46 35 $8,416.10 $8,431.64 +$133.70
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,431.64
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,568.36
Total Return: -15.68%
Back to Grace Crossover