Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:17:25

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.6/10
Raw Quality 3.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.6

30-Day Momentum

6
-6.2%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,333.57
Current Value
$7,814.50
Period P&L
$-519.05
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.48

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+1.63%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.79%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$129,793.11
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-519.05
Net P&L (after fees)
$-519.05
Gross Return
-6.23%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,333.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 12:15pm ET $91.94 90 $8,274.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 1:20pm ET $91.79 90 $8,261.55 $8,320.50 $-13.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:45am ET $91.44 90 $8,230.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $91.30 90 $8,217.00 $8,307.45 $-13.05
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $91.21 91 $8,300.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $90.63 91 $8,246.88 $8,254.22 $-53.23
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $93.80 87 $8,160.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 10:45am ET $91.22 87 $7,936.14 $8,029.76 $-224.46
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $92.33 86 $7,940.81 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.44 86 $7,949.88 $8,038.83 +$9.07
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $92.53 86 $7,957.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 1:40pm ET $94.03 86 $8,086.58 $8,168.26 +$129.43
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $92.74 88 $8,161.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:15pm ET $92.42 88 $8,132.96 $8,140.10 $-28.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $92.40 88 $8,131.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:25pm ET $88.71 88 $7,806.04 $7,814.50 $-325.60
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,814.50
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,185.50
Total Return: -21.86%
Back to Grace Crossover