Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-29 21:55:33

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.38%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.28%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.83
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.9
Quiet
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
45.7 neutral
20d Trend
+4.0%
5d Trend
-8.3%
EMA20 Dist
-2.4%
ATR%
4.3%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 29, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.1%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-29 → 2026-06-29
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,504.62
Current Value
$9,444.16
Period P&L
$-60.48
Max Drawdown
-28.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+2.48%
Worst Trade
-1.25%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
13.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,517.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-60.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$-60.48
Gross Return
-0.64%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.64%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 META Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,504.62 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $611.63 15 $9,174.45
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $613.13 15 $9,196.88 $9,527.06 +$22.42
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:10am ET $590.95 16 $9,455.13
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:00pm ET $587.43 16 $9,398.88 $9,470.81 $-56.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:45am ET $591.07 16 $9,457.12
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:05am ET $587.54 16 $9,400.64 $9,414.33 $-56.48
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 12:15pm ET $564.42 16 $9,030.80
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $561.19 16 $8,979.04 $9,362.57 $-51.76
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $581.76 16 $9,308.16
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $596.20 16 $9,539.20 $9,593.61 +$231.04
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $580.27 16 $9,284.24
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $578.68 16 $9,258.88 $9,568.25 $-25.36
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $578.52 16 $9,256.32
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $571.28 16 $9,140.48 $9,452.41 $-115.84
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:35am ET $564.83 16 $9,037.28
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:55am ET $563.53 16 $9,016.48 $9,431.61 $-20.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:25pm ET $547.96 17 $9,315.24
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:10pm ET $546.03 17 $9,282.51 $9,398.88 $-32.73
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 29, 2026 9:30am ET $560.65 16 $8,970.40
🔴 SELL Jun 29, 2026 12:35pm ET $563.48 16 $9,015.68 $9,444.16 +$45.28
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,444.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-555.84
Total Return: -5.56%
Back to Grace Crossover