Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-27 13:57:34

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
12.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.5/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 27.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.4

30-Day Momentum

56
+8.9%
30d Return
56%
Win Rate
9
Trades
7.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 66.8 Conf: 0.84×
Accelerating (+29 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,842.35
Current Value
$12,914.94
Period P&L
$1,072.53
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
6 / 4
Best Trade
+3.35%
Worst Trade
-0.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.88%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$244,100.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,072.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,072.53
Gross Return
+9.06%
Net Return (after fees)
+9.06%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,842.35 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:40am ET $121.01 97 $11,738.16
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:05pm ET $121.17 97 $11,753.49 $11,857.74 +$15.33
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $119.88 98 $11,748.69
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:45am ET $119.47 98 $11,708.06 $11,817.11 $-40.63
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $116.00 101 $11,716.00
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 2:00pm ET $118.88 101 $12,006.88 $12,107.99 +$290.88
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $119.22 101 $12,041.22
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:50am ET $118.89 101 $12,007.89 $12,074.66 $-33.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 1:45pm ET $118.06 102 $12,042.12
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:45pm ET $122.02 102 $12,446.04 $12,478.58 +$403.92
(+3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $115.69 107 $12,379.36
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:25pm ET $115.53 107 $12,361.71 $12,460.92 $-17.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $115.02 108 $12,422.16
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $114.86 108 $12,404.88 $12,443.64 $-17.28
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 12:25pm ET $112.85 110 $12,413.50
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $113.80 110 $12,518.00 $12,548.14 +$104.50
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 11:35am ET $120.30 104 $12,511.20
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $120.36 104 $12,516.92 $12,553.86 +$5.72
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 1:40pm ET $123.78 101 $12,501.78
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $127.36 101 $12,862.86 $12,914.94 +$361.08
(+2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,914.94
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,914.94
Total Return: +29.15%
Back to Grace Crossover