Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
79.9 overbought
20d Trend
+11.9%
5d Trend
+9.6%
EMA20 Dist
+7.7%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
96%
Bounce Ratio
5.6×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.1/35
Total Return
12.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 29.5/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 28.9

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.7%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-20 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,724.56
Current Value
$13,487.40
Period P&L
$-237.22
Max Drawdown
-15.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.17

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.55%
Worst Trade
-1.90%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$272,768.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-237.22
Net P&L (after fees)
$-237.22
Gross Return
-1.73%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.73%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,724.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $153.78 89 $13,686.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $153.62 89 $13,671.74 $13,709.52 $-15.10
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.29 90 $13,616.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:25pm ET $151.05 90 $13,594.50 $13,688.01 $-21.51
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:55am ET $147.82 92 $13,599.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 11:30am ET $149.27 92 $13,733.30 $13,821.87 +$133.86
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $150.74 91 $13,717.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $150.90 91 $13,731.90 $13,836.43 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.73 93 $13,831.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:25pm ET $148.57 93 $13,817.01 $13,821.55 $-14.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $145.06 95 $13,780.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $144.74 95 $13,750.77 $13,791.62 $-29.93
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $146.85 93 $13,657.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:15am ET $144.39 93 $13,428.27 $13,562.84 $-228.78
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:40am ET $143.74 94 $13,511.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:50am ET $143.49 94 $13,488.06 $13,539.34 $-23.50
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $144.34 93 $13,423.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $146.58 93 $13,631.94 $13,747.66 +$208.32
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:15am ET $150.31 91 $13,678.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:35pm ET $147.45 91 $13,417.95 $13,487.40 $-260.26
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,487.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,487.40
Total Return: +34.87%
Back to Grace Crossover