Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:54:51

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

21
+3.1%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 25.6 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$6,535.93
Current Value
$6,710.72
Period P&L
$174.79
Max Drawdown
-67.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+8.12%
Worst Trade
-3.35%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
8.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$117,057.28
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$174.79
Net P&L (after fees)
$174.79
Gross Return
+2.67%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.67%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $6,535.93 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:30am ET $137.40 47 $6,457.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:45pm ET $136.84 47 $6,431.25 $6,509.38 $-26.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 1:00pm ET $141.29 46 $6,499.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $136.56 46 $6,281.76 $6,291.57 $-217.81
(-3.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $148.76 42 $6,247.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $148.71 42 $6,245.61 $6,289.26 $-2.31
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $144.78 43 $6,225.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:20pm ET $144.30 43 $6,205.11 $6,268.83 $-20.43
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 12:05pm ET $134.93 46 $6,206.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 10:10am ET $145.88 46 $6,710.48 $6,772.53 +$503.70
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:10am ET $143.51 47 $6,744.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:15pm ET $145.40 47 $6,833.57 $6,861.13 +$88.60
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $145.37 47 $6,832.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:20am ET $143.20 47 $6,730.40 $6,759.14 $-101.99
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $158.80 42 $6,669.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:20pm ET $155.10 42 $6,514.20 $6,603.74 $-155.40
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 1:10pm ET $182.13 36 $6,556.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:55am ET $185.10 36 $6,663.66 $6,710.72 +$106.98
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,710.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,289.28
Total Return: -32.89%
Back to Grace Crossover