Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:55:59

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
39 neutral
20d Trend
-6.5%
5d Trend
-4.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.4%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
56%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 4.5/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

5
-5.0%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 6.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,429.12
Current Value
$9,838.45
Period P&L
$-590.59
Max Drawdown
-12.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.50

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-4.00%
Avg Trade Return
-0.64%
Avg Hold Time
1.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$183,282.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-590.59
Net P&L (after fees)
$-590.59
Gross Return
-5.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MS Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,429.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $214.36 48 $10,289.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 3:45pm ET $214.30 48 $10,286.40 $10,426.14 $-2.90
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:10pm ET $213.77 48 $10,261.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 10:25am ET $214.01 48 $10,272.48 $10,437.61 +$11.47
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:30pm ET $214.77 48 $10,308.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $213.37 48 $10,241.76 $10,370.53 $-67.08
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:40am ET $212.35 48 $10,192.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:30am ET $213.26 48 $10,236.48 $10,414.21 +$43.68
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:50am ET $216.29 48 $10,381.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 3:20pm ET $217.04 48 $10,417.68 $10,449.97 +$35.76
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:45am ET $216.35 48 $10,384.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:10am ET $215.58 48 $10,348.01 $10,413.18 $-36.79
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $215.70 48 $10,353.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:40pm ET $207.07 48 $9,939.36 $9,998.94 $-414.24
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 2:05pm ET $202.36 49 $9,915.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:15pm ET $200.35 49 $9,817.15 $9,900.45 $-98.49
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $196.97 50 $9,848.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:45pm ET $195.73 50 $9,786.50 $9,838.45 $-62.00
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,838.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-161.55
Total Return: -1.62%
Back to Grace Crossover