Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:42:19

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.6%
30d Return
44%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 16.4 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,290.44
Current Value
$10,350.18
Period P&L
$59.75
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.07

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
4 / 5
Best Trade
+2.39%
Worst Trade
-1.79%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$179,252.01
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$59.75
Net P&L (after fees)
$59.75
Gross Return
+0.58%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,290.44 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $496.31 20 $9,926.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $498.52 20 $9,970.40 $10,334.63 +$44.20
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:10am ET $511.79 20 $10,235.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:35pm ET $510.14 20 $10,202.90 $10,301.73 $-32.90
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:10pm ET $496.23 20 $9,924.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $496.12 20 $9,922.38 $10,299.41 $-2.32
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $500.90 20 $10,017.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $491.95 20 $9,839.00 $10,120.42 $-178.99
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:35am ET $491.95 20 $9,838.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 12:10pm ET $491.21 20 $9,824.25 $10,105.77 $-14.65
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 2:05pm ET $495.33 20 $9,906.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 2:45pm ET $507.14 20 $10,142.80 $10,342.07 +$236.30
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:50am ET $494.50 20 $9,890.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 12:30pm ET $495.73 20 $9,914.55 $10,366.62 +$24.55
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $495.92 20 $9,918.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:15am ET $494.14 20 $9,882.80 $10,330.98 $-35.64
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:50pm ET $496.88 20 $9,937.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 10:20am ET $497.84 20 $9,956.80 $10,350.18 +$19.20
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,350.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$350.18
Total Return: +3.50%
Back to Grace Crossover