Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-28 06:29:16

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
22.7 oversold
20d Trend
-16.1%
5d Trend
-8.1%
EMA20 Dist
-9.8%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

11
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
5.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.4/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 11.3/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 11.2

30-Day Momentum

18
+2.4%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,175.80
Current Value
$10,364.79
Period P&L
$189.00
Max Drawdown
-19.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+8.22%
Worst Trade
-1.65%
Avg Trade Return
+0.35%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$165,356.47
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$189.00
Net P&L (after fees)
$189.00
Gross Return
+1.86%
Net Return (after fees)
+1.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MSFT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,175.80 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:15pm ET $412.77 24 $9,906.60
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $446.69 24 $10,720.56 $10,933.35 +$813.96
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $426.77 25 $10,669.29
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 2:15pm ET $419.71 25 $10,492.75 $10,756.81 $-176.54
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:50am ET $403.81 26 $10,499.06
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:40am ET $402.24 26 $10,458.37 $10,716.12 $-40.69
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:40pm ET $388.57 27 $10,491.39
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:00pm ET $387.23 27 $10,455.21 $10,679.94 $-36.18
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 3:40pm ET $399.71 26 $10,392.59
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $394.99 26 $10,269.79 $10,557.14 $-122.80
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $379.81 27 $10,254.87
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $374.60 27 $10,114.20 $10,416.47 $-140.67
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $372.67 27 $10,061.96
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 11:30am ET $372.84 27 $10,066.68 $10,421.20 +$4.73
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $354.48 29 $10,279.78
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 3:30pm ET $352.53 29 $10,223.37 $10,364.79 $-56.41
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,364.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$364.79
Total Return: +3.65%
Back to Grace Crossover