Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:00:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.7/10
Raw Quality 2.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 2.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.9 Conf: 0.81×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$8,610.11
Current Value
$8,519.62
Period P&L
$-90.40
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+2.14%
Worst Trade
-1.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
9.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$130,252.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-90.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$-90.40
Gross Return
-1.05%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.05%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $8,610.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:45pm ET $927.68 9 $8,349.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 12:40pm ET $936.15 9 $8,425.35 $8,686.20 +$76.18
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 3:40pm ET $945.36 9 $8,508.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:40am ET $939.78 9 $8,458.02 $8,635.98 $-50.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 1:55pm ET $945.52 9 $8,509.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:35pm ET $948.53 9 $8,536.81 $8,663.11 +$27.13
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 2:20pm ET $1,020.34 8 $8,162.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:25am ET $1,020.82 8 $8,166.56 $8,666.95 +$3.84
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $991.47 8 $7,931.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:10pm ET $975.43 8 $7,803.44 $8,538.67 $-128.28
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $935.80 9 $8,422.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 11:00am ET $931.78 9 $8,386.02 $8,502.49 $-36.18
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $955.18 8 $7,641.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $975.61 8 $7,804.84 $8,665.89 +$163.40
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 10:00am ET $1,092.35 7 $7,646.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:55pm ET $1,071.46 7 $7,500.22 $8,519.62 $-146.27
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,519.62
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,480.38
Total Return: -14.80%
Back to Grace Crossover