Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-27 21:47:15

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
15
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.5
Active
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
37.4 neutral
20d Trend
-12.8%
5d Trend
-1.7%
EMA20 Dist
-6.9%
ATR%
5.6%
Range Pos
6%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 27, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.9/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.7/15
Consistency
3.0/10
Raw Quality 14.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 14.0

30-Day Momentum

9
-3.4%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-27 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,688.67
Current Value
$11,293.91
Period P&L
$-394.67
Max Drawdown
-48.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-7.16%
Avg Trade Return
-0.20%
Avg Hold Time
8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$239,797.57
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-394.67
Net P&L (after fees)
$-394.67
Gross Return
-3.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MU Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,688.67 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:00pm ET $909.00 12 $10,908.00
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:50am ET $906.06 12 $10,872.72 $11,653.30 $-35.28
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $1,048.94 11 $11,538.39
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:35am ET $1,028.83 11 $11,317.13 $11,432.04 $-221.26
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:15pm ET $1,066.33 10 $10,663.30
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,060.56 10 $10,605.60 $11,374.34 $-57.70
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,014.99 11 $11,164.94
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $942.31 11 $10,365.41 $10,574.81 $-799.53
(-7.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $938.26 11 $10,320.86
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:15pm ET $947.14 11 $10,418.54 $10,672.49 +$97.68
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $900.60 11 $9,906.65
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:10am ET $916.02 11 $10,076.17 $10,842.00 +$169.51
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:15am ET $911.40 11 $10,025.35
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:35pm ET $989.51 11 $10,884.61 $11,701.26 +$859.26
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $1,055.02 11 $11,605.22
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:50pm ET $1,079.21 11 $11,871.36 $11,967.40 +$266.14
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $1,047.46 11 $11,522.11
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $1,041.29 11 $11,454.19 $11,899.48 $-67.92
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 9:30am ET $1,076.43 11 $11,840.73
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $1,030.73 11 $11,338.03 $11,396.78 $-502.70
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 12:25pm ET $1,177.84 9 $10,600.56
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 1:40pm ET $1,166.41 9 $10,497.69 $11,293.91 $-102.87
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,293.91
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,293.91
Total Return: +12.94%
Back to Grace Crossover