Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-07-26 19:32:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
26
Fear
VIX
18.7
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.71%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.36%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.4
Unsettled
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jul 26, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.7/35
Total Return
11.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.8/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 23.4/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 23.2

30-Day Momentum

48
+6.5%
30d Return
83%
Win Rate
6
Trades
8.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 64.0 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-06-26 → 2026-07-24
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-07-03 — Independence Day (observed)
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,469.69
Current Value
$12,213.52
Period P&L
$743.88
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.68

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
5 / 1
Best Trade
+4.20%
Worst Trade
-0.42%
Avg Trade Return
+1.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$144,343.76
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$743.88
Net P&L (after fees)
$743.88
Gross Return
+6.49%
Net Return (after fees)
+6.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,469.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2026 9:35am ET $72.95 157 $11,453.15
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $74.31 157 $11,665.89 $11,682.38 +$212.74
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 1, 2026 9:35am ET $73.19 159 $11,637.21
🔴 SELL Jul 6, 2026 1:35pm ET $76.26 159 $12,126.13 $12,171.30 +$488.92
(+4.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2026 11:30am ET $75.73 160 $12,116.48
🔴 SELL Jul 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $75.81 160 $12,129.60 $12,184.42 +$13.12
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Jul 14, 2026 3:30pm ET $73.84 165 $12,183.60
🔴 SELL Jul 15, 2026 12:30pm ET $74.22 165 $12,246.30 $12,247.12 +$62.70
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
5 🟢 BUY Jul 20, 2026 11:25am ET $67.96 180 $12,231.90
🔴 SELL Jul 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $67.67 180 $12,180.60 $12,195.82 $-51.30
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 23, 2026 10:45am ET $68.80 177 $12,177.60
🔴 SELL Jul 23, 2026 3:15pm ET $68.90 177 $12,195.30 $12,213.52 +$17.70
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,213.52
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,213.52
Total Return: +22.14%
Back to Grace Crossover