Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 19:22:21

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 25, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
7.1/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 25.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

4
-2.1%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Declining (-21 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-25
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,829.77
Current Value
$12,750.40
Period P&L
$-79.32
Max Drawdown
-13.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+1.78%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,452.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-79.32
Net P&L (after fees)
$-79.32
Gross Return
-0.62%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.62%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,829.77 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.71 158 $12,752.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 2:20pm ET $81.93 158 $12,945.73 $13,022.48 +$192.76
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.65 159 $12,982.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 9:30am ET $80.89 159 $12,862.30 $12,902.43 $-120.05
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $81.03 159 $12,883.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $82.09 159 $13,052.31 $13,070.97 +$168.54
(+1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:00pm ET $79.16 165 $13,061.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 2:50pm ET $76.64 165 $12,644.78 $12,654.23 $-416.74
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 10:15am ET $76.16 166 $12,642.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 1:15pm ET $75.97 166 $12,611.85 $12,623.80 $-30.43
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $77.43 163 $12,621.09 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $77.12 163 $12,570.56 $12,573.27 $-50.53
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $71.99 174 $12,526.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 1:40pm ET $73.28 174 $12,749.85 $12,796.86 +$223.59
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 2:50pm ET $71.89 178 $12,795.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $71.62 178 $12,749.07 $12,750.40 $-46.46
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,750.40
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,750.40
Total Return: +27.50%
Back to Grace Crossover