Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 03:50:57

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
1.8/10
Raw Quality 1.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 1.8

30-Day Momentum

7
-5.2%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,148.34
Current Value
$3,913.36
Period P&L
$-234.90
Max Drawdown
-42.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.45

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.06%
Worst Trade
-4.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.57%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$80,254.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-234.90
Net P&L (after fees)
$-234.90
Gross Return
-5.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,148.34 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $4.39 943 $4,144.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:10pm ET $4.41 943 $4,158.82 $4,162.59 +$14.33
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 1:55pm ET $4.34 959 $4,159.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:30pm ET $4.32 959 $4,147.67 $4,150.41 $-12.18
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:10pm ET $4.05 1,023 $4,148.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $3.89 1,023 $3,979.47 $3,981.62 $-168.79
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:40am ET $3.80 1,047 $3,978.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:05pm ET $3.84 1,047 $4,020.48 $4,023.60 +$41.98
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $3.70 1,087 $4,021.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $3.67 1,087 $3,989.29 $3,990.99 $-32.61
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $3.61 1,105 $3,988.17 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:05am ET $3.59 1,105 $3,961.43 $3,964.25 $-26.74
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 11:20am ET $3.62 1,095 $3,963.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 2:00pm ET $3.62 1,095 $3,963.90 $3,964.25 $0.00
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 3:00pm ET $3.67 1,080 $3,963.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 2:35pm ET $3.65 1,080 $3,947.40 $3,948.05 $-16.20
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:00am ET $3.70 1,065 $3,945.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 12:00pm ET $3.69 1,065 $3,929.85 $3,932.08 $-15.97
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $3.63 1,082 $3,930.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:10pm ET $3.62 1,082 $3,911.43 $3,913.36 $-18.72
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $3,913.36
Net Profit/Loss: $-6,086.64
Total Return: -60.87%
Back to Grace Crossover