Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 20:59:12

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 7.6/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 7.5

30-Day Momentum

6
-3.4%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,467.49
Current Value
$9,954.72
Period P&L
$-512.77
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.36

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-4.18%
Avg Trade Return
-0.50%
Avg Hold Time
20.3h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$199,531.84
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-512.77
Net P&L (after fees)
$-512.77
Gross Return
-4.90%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.90%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,467.49 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 12:20pm ET $210.68 49 $10,323.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $210.24 49 $10,301.76 $10,445.69 $-21.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 9:45am ET $213.05 49 $10,439.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:55am ET $212.36 49 $10,405.65 $10,411.89 $-33.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:35pm ET $228.26 45 $10,271.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 1:05pm ET $218.73 45 $9,842.85 $9,983.03 $-428.86
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 11:05am ET $218.43 45 $9,829.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 1:10pm ET $218.48 45 $9,831.60 $9,985.28 +$2.25
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 11:15am ET $226.95 43 $9,758.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 1:20pm ET $227.13 43 $9,766.59 $9,993.23 +$7.95
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $230.72 43 $9,920.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:45am ET $229.77 43 $9,880.11 $9,952.38 $-40.85
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:15pm ET $224.38 44 $9,872.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $224.15 44 $9,862.60 $9,942.26 $-10.12
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:50pm ET $212.24 46 $9,763.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:50am ET $212.22 46 $9,762.12 $9,941.34 $-0.92
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:10pm ET $215.92 46 $9,932.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:40am ET $219.20 46 $10,083.20 $10,092.22 +$150.88
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $225.24 44 $9,910.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $222.12 44 $9,773.06 $9,954.72 $-137.50
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,954.72
Net Profit/Loss: $-45.28
Total Return: -0.45%
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