Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 06:14:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-9.7%
5d Trend
-7.1%
EMA20 Dist
-5.9%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.7×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

13
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
6.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 13.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 12.9

30-Day Momentum

24
+2.6%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 29.5 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,307.78
Current Value
$10,151.98
Period P&L
$-155.80
Max Drawdown
-30.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+4.04%
Worst Trade
-4.01%
Avg Trade Return
-0.15%
Avg Hold Time
18.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$184,548.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-155.80
Net P&L (after fees)
$-155.80
Gross Return
-1.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NVDA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,307.78 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 3:35pm ET $213.65 48 $10,255.20
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 9:35am ET $212.53 48 $10,201.44 $10,254.02 $-53.76
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:05pm ET $215.68 47 $10,137.19
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $216.06 47 $10,154.82 $10,271.65 +$17.63
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 2:25pm ET $215.92 47 $10,148.43
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 3:15pm ET $215.68 47 $10,136.96 $10,260.18 $-11.47
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $210.11 48 $10,085.28
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:05pm ET $208.04 48 $9,985.92 $10,160.82 $-99.36
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:30pm ET $204.01 49 $9,996.73
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:00am ET $205.26 49 $10,057.74 $10,221.82 +$61.00
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $203.26 50 $10,163.00
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $211.48 50 $10,574.00 $10,632.82 +$411.00
(+4.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 12:20pm ET $207.63 51 $10,589.13
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 1:15pm ET $206.94 51 $10,553.94 $10,597.63 $-35.19
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:25pm ET $210.29 50 $10,514.50
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $209.77 50 $10,488.75 $10,571.88 $-25.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:50am ET $201.21 52 $10,462.91
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:55am ET $193.13 52 $10,043.02 $10,151.98 $-419.90
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,151.98
Net Profit/Loss: +$151.98
Total Return: +1.52%
Back to Grace Crossover