Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-20 15:59:35

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.6
Active
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 20, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.0

30-Day Momentum

28
+3.8%
30d Return
29%
Win Rate
7
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 35.5 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+23 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-20 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,585.29
Current Value
$9,945.75
Period P&L
$360.44
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.80%
Worst Trade
-1.09%
Avg Trade Return
+0.56%
Avg Hold Time
11.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,508.66
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$360.44
Net P&L (after fees)
$360.44
Gross Return
+3.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+3.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,585.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:35am ET $192.62 49 $9,438.38
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $192.15 49 $9,415.59 $9,562.53 $-22.78
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
2 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 2:45pm ET $191.87 49 $9,401.63
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $202.99 49 $9,946.51 $10,107.41 +$544.88
(+5.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 12:05pm ET $243.60 41 $9,987.60
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:15pm ET $243.47 41 $9,982.27 $10,102.08 $-5.33
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:05am ET $232.77 43 $10,009.32
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $233.46 43 $10,038.78 $10,131.54 +$29.46
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:35am ET $212.88 47 $10,005.36
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:20am ET $211.28 47 $9,930.16 $10,056.34 $-75.20
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:55am ET $182.86 54 $9,874.44
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $180.87 54 $9,766.71 $9,948.61 $-107.73
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:00pm ET $189.57 52 $9,857.38
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:25pm ET $189.51 52 $9,854.52 $9,945.75 $-2.86
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,945.75
Net Profit/Loss: $-54.25
Total Return: -0.54%
Back to Grace Crossover