Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:22:06

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.8 oversold
20d Trend
-34.3%
5d Trend
-19.1%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.9%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

9
-8.1%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
12
Trades
0.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.93×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,117.14
Current Value
$8,367.30
Period P&L
$-749.87
Max Drawdown
-31.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.49

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
3 / 10
Best Trade
+0.97%
Worst Trade
-4.62%
Avg Trade Return
-0.65%
Avg Hold Time
7.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$227,397.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-749.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-749.87
Gross Return
-8.22%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.22%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ORCL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,117.14 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 2:15pm ET $143.48 63 $9,039.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $144.87 63 $9,126.81 $9,204.74 +$87.57
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:15pm ET $148.10 62 $9,182.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:15pm ET $147.64 62 $9,153.68 $9,175.91 $-28.83
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 2:05pm ET $151.13 60 $9,068.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 2:50pm ET $150.74 60 $9,044.70 $9,152.51 $-23.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:25pm ET $141.17 64 $9,034.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $140.32 64 $8,980.64 $9,098.27 $-54.24
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $159.08 57 $9,067.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 1:25pm ET $157.64 57 $8,985.48 $9,016.19 $-82.08
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 11:00am ET $162.24 55 $8,923.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $163.00 55 $8,965.00 $9,057.99 +$41.80
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $163.72 55 $9,004.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $156.15 55 $8,588.25 $8,641.64 $-416.35
(-4.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 2:40pm ET $144.18 59 $8,506.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:35am ET $143.51 59 $8,467.38 $8,602.11 $-39.53
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:40am ET $142.30 60 $8,538.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $142.93 60 $8,575.80 $8,639.91 +$37.80
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:35pm ET $150.04 57 $8,552.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:35am ET $147.34 57 $8,398.10 $8,485.44 $-154.47
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 10:00am ET $148.20 57 $8,447.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 10:45am ET $147.20 57 $8,390.40 $8,428.44 $-57.00
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:35am ET $150.23 56 $8,412.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $149.36 56 $8,364.16 $8,380.00 $-48.44
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $138.27 60 $8,296.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $138.06 60 $8,283.60 $8,367.30 $-12.70
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,367.30
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,632.70
Total Return: -16.33%
Back to Grace Crossover