Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 07:47:54

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
85.2 overbought
20d Trend
+19.9%
5d Trend
+9.7%
EMA20 Dist
+9.3%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
62.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 9, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
14.1/35
Total Return
11.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.2/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 34.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 34.6

30-Day Momentum

11
-0.1%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,422.90
Current Value
$12,410.65
Period P&L
$-12.23
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.01

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+1.52%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.01%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$269,930.52
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-12.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-12.23
Gross Return
-0.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PEP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,422.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:15am ET $157.65 78 $12,296.31
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 11:00am ET $157.32 78 $12,270.96 $12,397.53 $-25.35
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 12:35pm ET $155.76 79 $12,305.04
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 2:35pm ET $155.80 79 $12,308.20 $12,400.69 +$3.16
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 11:50am ET $154.42 80 $12,353.21
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 12:20pm ET $153.93 80 $12,314.00 $12,361.48 $-39.21
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $158.03 78 $12,326.35
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:45pm ET $157.65 78 $12,296.70 $12,331.83 $-29.65
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 2:50pm ET $156.66 78 $12,219.48
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 3:25pm ET $156.41 78 $12,200.37 $12,312.72 $-19.11
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:35am ET $155.32 79 $12,270.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 11:05am ET $154.76 79 $12,225.84 $12,267.89 $-44.83
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.38 78 $12,120.03
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:15am ET $155.49 78 $12,128.22 $12,276.08 +$8.19
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 3:50pm ET $155.41 78 $12,121.98
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 1:45pm ET $157.78 78 $12,306.84 $12,460.94 +$184.86
(+1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.9h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $157.57 79 $12,448.03
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $155.70 79 $12,300.30 $12,313.21 $-147.73
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
10 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $154.27 79 $12,187.06
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 3:55pm ET $155.23 79 $12,263.17 $12,389.32 +$76.11
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.4h held
11 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 11:05am ET $155.99 79 $12,323.21
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 1:55pm ET $156.26 79 $12,344.54 $12,410.65 +$21.33
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,410.65
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,410.65
Total Return: +24.11%
Back to Grace Crossover