Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 07:53:05

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.8
Active
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 25, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.3/35
Total Return
17.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.9/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 42.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 42.0

30-Day Momentum

13
+1.0%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.0 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$20,785.90
Current Value
$20,989.79
Period P&L
$203.93
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+9.44%
Worst Trade
-4.13%
Avg Trade Return
+0.17%
Avg Hold Time
23.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$383,110.86
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$203.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$203.93
Gross Return
+0.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $20,785.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:40am ET $135.51 153 $20,732.57
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $148.30 153 $22,689.90 $22,743.19 +$1,957.33
(+9.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 10:50am ET $158.40 143 $22,651.48
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $151.87 143 $21,716.70 $21,808.40 $-934.79
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $145.71 149 $21,710.79
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:25am ET $142.22 149 $21,190.78 $21,288.39 $-520.01
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $136.23 156 $21,251.88
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $135.15 156 $21,083.40 $21,119.91 $-168.48
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:40am ET $130.12 162 $21,079.44
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $129.18 162 $20,927.97 $20,968.44 $-151.47
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:25pm ET $128.13 163 $20,885.19
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 3:35pm ET $127.94 163 $20,855.03 $20,938.28 $-30.16
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $131.32 159 $20,879.09
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $134.04 159 $21,312.36 $21,371.55 +$433.27
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:30pm ET $128.29 166 $21,296.14
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $126.25 166 $20,957.50 $21,032.91 $-338.64
(-1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:25pm ET $119.13 176 $20,966.88
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $118.89 176 $20,923.76 $20,989.79 $-43.12
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,989.79
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,989.79
Total Return: +109.90%
Back to Grace Crossover