Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:27

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
21.5 oversold
20d Trend
-29.6%
5d Trend
-14.4%
EMA20 Dist
-18.7%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
16.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.6/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 40.8/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 40.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-4.8%
30d Return
9%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,518.39
Current Value
$20,421.75
Period P&L
$-1,096.60
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.89

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
1 / 11
Best Trade
+0.21%
Worst Trade
-1.76%
Avg Trade Return
-0.44%
Avg Hold Time
9.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$501,870.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,096.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,096.60
Gross Return
-5.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PLTR Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $21,518.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 11:05am ET $176.29 122 $21,507.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:05am ET $176.18 122 $21,493.96 $21,504.32 $-14.03
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $185.86 115 $21,373.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 9:30am ET $185.40 115 $21,321.00 $21,451.42 $-52.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:05am ET $186.07 115 $21,398.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $185.81 115 $21,368.15 $21,421.29 $-30.13
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:45pm ET $169.07 126 $21,302.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:45pm ET $168.60 126 $21,243.60 $21,362.07 $-59.22
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 2:55pm ET $183.06 116 $21,234.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $182.31 116 $21,147.96 $21,275.07 $-87.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 10:40am ET $171.80 123 $21,131.39 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:15am ET $169.99 123 $20,908.77 $21,052.45 $-222.62
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $166.63 126 $20,996.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $166.18 126 $20,938.68 $20,995.12 $-57.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:25pm ET $173.18 121 $20,954.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 9:30am ET $170.13 121 $20,585.73 $20,626.68 $-368.44
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 11:10am ET $172.29 119 $20,501.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 11:55am ET $171.45 119 $20,402.76 $20,527.53 $-99.15
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $175.65 116 $20,375.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:40pm ET $175.02 116 $20,302.32 $20,454.45 $-73.08
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 2:10pm ET $182.15 112 $20,400.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:40am ET $182.53 112 $20,443.36 $20,497.01 +$42.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 10:25am ET $191.57 106 $20,305.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:15am ET $190.85 106 $20,230.63 $20,421.75 $-75.26
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $20,421.75
Net Profit/Loss: +$10,421.75
Total Return: +104.22%
Back to Grace Crossover