Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-24 21:13:34

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.4/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.1/15
Consistency
7.0/10
Raw Quality 55.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 54.9

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-48 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,545.74
Current Value
$14,386.41
Period P&L
$-159.34
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.19

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
4 / 6
Best Trade
+1.08%
Worst Trade
-0.78%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$286,285.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-159.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$-159.34
Gross Return
-1.10%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.10%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,545.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $191.18 76 $14,529.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:50am ET $190.00 76 $14,440.23 $14,456.30 $-89.45
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $193.20 74 $14,296.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $191.68 74 $14,184.32 $14,344.19 $-112.11
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:50am ET $187.60 76 $14,257.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 2:30pm ET $188.34 76 $14,313.84 $14,400.43 +$56.24
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 9:30am ET $183.59 78 $14,320.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $185.57 78 $14,474.07 $14,554.48 +$154.05
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 1:50pm ET $189.59 76 $14,408.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:55pm ET $189.08 76 $14,370.08 $14,515.72 $-38.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 9:35am ET $194.03 74 $14,358.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:50am ET $193.23 74 $14,298.65 $14,456.15 $-59.57
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 2:30pm ET $194.35 74 $14,381.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $193.74 74 $14,337.13 $14,411.75 $-44.40
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 1:55pm ET $189.70 75 $14,227.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $188.26 75 $14,119.87 $14,304.13 $-107.62
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:10am ET $187.84 76 $14,275.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:20pm ET $188.28 76 $14,309.28 $14,337.57 +$33.44
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $191.44 74 $14,166.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 11:45am ET $192.10 74 $14,215.40 $14,386.41 +$48.84
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,386.41
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,386.41
Total Return: +43.86%
Back to Grace Crossover