Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-28 17:47:20

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
18
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.9
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.40%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
71.8 overbought
20d Trend
+12.7%
5d Trend
+2.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.0%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
97%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 28, 2026

55
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
30.3/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
4.5/15
Consistency
7.3/10
Raw Quality 55.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.2

30-Day Momentum

9
-2.5%
30d Return
30%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.87×
Declining (-46 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-28 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$14,692.58
Current Value
$14,322.36
Period P&L
$-370.23
Max Drawdown
-4.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.30

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.75%
Worst Trade
-1.43%
Avg Trade Return
-0.25%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$289,339.02
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-370.23
Net P&L (after fees)
$-370.23
Gross Return
-2.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 PM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $14,692.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $173.10 84 $14,540.40
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $172.71 84 $14,507.22 $14,659.41 $-33.18
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $176.30 83 $14,632.90
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 2:05pm ET $176.76 83 $14,671.07 $14,697.58 +$38.17
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:35am ET $177.73 82 $14,573.86
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 10:20am ET $175.19 82 $14,365.58 $14,489.30 $-208.28
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:45pm ET $175.72 82 $14,409.04
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:15pm ET $175.29 82 $14,374.19 $14,454.45 $-34.85
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.26 81 $14,438.66
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 1:40pm ET $181.37 81 $14,690.97 $14,706.76 +$252.31
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $183.66 80 $14,693.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.02 80 $14,641.60 $14,655.16 $-51.60
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
55m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 3:40pm ET $183.51 79 $14,497.29
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:45am ET $182.26 79 $14,398.93 $14,556.81 $-98.35
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:15am ET $180.08 80 $14,406.40
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 11:35am ET $179.35 80 $14,348.33 $14,498.74 $-58.07
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $176.04 82 $14,434.88
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 3:30pm ET $173.65 82 $14,239.30 $14,303.16 $-195.58
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $177.85 80 $14,228.00
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:50pm ET $178.09 80 $14,247.20 $14,322.36 +$19.20
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,322.36
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,322.36
Total Return: +43.22%
Back to Grace Crossover