Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 00:55:23

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

23
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.6/35
Total Return
10.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 23.2/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.1

30-Day Momentum

9
-0.9%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-14 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,581.46
Current Value
$11,425.18
Period P&L
$-156.27
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+0.66%
Worst Trade
-1.19%
Avg Trade Return
-0.12%
Avg Hold Time
21.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$264,549.30
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-156.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-156.27
Gross Return
-1.35%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,581.46 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $726.04 15 $10,890.60
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $726.13 15 $10,891.95 $11,582.80 +$1.35
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $728.27 15 $10,923.98
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:35am ET $728.26 15 $10,923.90 $11,582.72 $-0.08
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $738.25 15 $11,073.75
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:00am ET $736.81 15 $11,052.15 $11,561.12 $-21.60
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.8d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $743.90 15 $11,158.50
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:30am ET $742.69 15 $11,140.35 $11,542.97 $-18.15
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $744.07 15 $11,161.05
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $735.25 15 $11,028.75 $11,410.67 $-132.30
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:35am ET $714.96 15 $10,724.40
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $718.84 15 $10,782.60 $11,468.87 +$58.20
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:40pm ET $701.20 16 $11,219.20
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $702.11 16 $11,233.76 $11,483.43 +$14.56
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 11:25am ET $700.89 16 $11,214.24
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:00pm ET $699.83 16 $11,197.34 $11,466.53 $-16.90
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $738.03 15 $11,070.45
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $742.90 15 $11,143.54 $11,539.62 +$73.09
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $735.26 15 $11,028.90
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 12:50pm ET $732.29 15 $10,984.35 $11,495.07 $-44.55
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 2:50pm ET $739.69 15 $11,095.35
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $738.81 15 $11,082.15 $11,481.87 $-13.20
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:25pm ET $719.49 15 $10,792.37
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 12:30pm ET $715.71 15 $10,735.68 $11,425.18 $-56.69
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,425.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,425.18
Total Return: +14.25%
Back to Grace Crossover