Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:30

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.7 neutral
20d Trend
-3.6%
5d Trend
-4.6%
EMA20 Dist
-3.6%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
21%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

19
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.8/35
Total Return
8.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 19.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 19.1

30-Day Momentum

30
+1.4%
30d Return
40%
Win Rate
10
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 34.6 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+11 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,858.11
Current Value
$10,928.31
Period P&L
$70.21
Max Drawdown
-9.3%
Sharpe Ratio
0.12

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
4 / 7
Best Trade
+1.41%
Worst Trade
-0.80%
Avg Trade Return
+0.06%
Avg Hold Time
9.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$234,228.89
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$70.21
Net P&L (after fees)
$70.21
Gross Return
+0.65%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 QQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,858.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $710.88 15 $10,663.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 11:05am ET $709.05 15 $10,635.75 $10,830.65 $-27.45
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $710.55 15 $10,658.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:35am ET $709.95 15 $10,649.25 $10,821.65 $-9.00
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $718.76 15 $10,781.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 11:50am ET $720.08 15 $10,801.20 $10,841.45 +$19.80
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $714.68 15 $10,720.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:40pm ET $714.18 15 $10,712.70 $10,833.95 $-7.50
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:15am ET $707.66 15 $10,614.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $717.63 15 $10,764.45 $10,983.50 +$149.55
(+1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:45pm ET $716.40 15 $10,746.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $716.08 15 $10,741.20 $10,978.70 $-4.80
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $714.99 15 $10,724.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 2:20pm ET $716.03 15 $10,740.45 $10,994.30 +$15.60
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:30am ET $708.20 15 $10,623.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 1:00pm ET $709.87 15 $10,648.05 $11,019.35 +$25.05
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:05pm ET $716.71 15 $10,750.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 10:15am ET $716.42 15 $10,746.30 $11,015.00 $-4.35
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 12:00pm ET $744.62 14 $10,424.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:25pm ET $744.33 14 $10,420.62 $11,010.91 $-4.09
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $740.87 14 $10,372.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 9:30am ET $734.97 14 $10,289.58 $10,928.31 $-82.60
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,928.31
Net Profit/Loss: +$928.31
Total Return: +9.28%
Back to Grace Crossover