Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:14:11

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

22
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.0/35
Total Return
11.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.2/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 21.6/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 21.5

30-Day Momentum

81
+31.8%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
5.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 90.5 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+60 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,619.07
Current Value
$12,598.59
Period P&L
$2,979.61
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
6 / 5
Best Trade
+9.21%
Worst Trade
-2.33%
Avg Trade Return
+2.63%
Avg Hold Time
1.6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$244,958.31
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,979.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,979.61
Gross Return
+30.98%
Net Return (after fees)
+30.98%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,619.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.70 246 $9,519.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 10:35am ET $38.68 246 $9,515.28 $9,551.33 $-4.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:45am ET $37.75 253 $9,550.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 11:35am ET $37.77 253 $9,555.81 $9,556.39 +$5.06
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 12:50pm ET $39.01 244 $9,519.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:35am ET $39.87 244 $9,728.28 $9,765.01 +$208.62
(+2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 1:30pm ET $40.00 244 $9,760.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 3, 2026 9:35am ET $43.20 244 $10,540.80 $10,545.81 +$780.80
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 9:35am ET $42.41 248 $10,517.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $44.41 248 $11,013.68 $11,041.81 +$496.00
(+4.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.3d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $45.39 243 $11,029.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 10:35am ET $49.57 243 $12,045.51 $12,057.55 +$1,015.74
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 11:20am ET $50.60 238 $12,042.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:50pm ET $50.43 238 $12,002.34 $12,017.09 $-40.46
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:35am ET $48.61 247 $12,006.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 11:05am ET $47.47 247 $11,726.32 $11,736.74 $-280.35
(-2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $47.07 249 $11,720.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 21, 2026 9:30am ET $51.00 249 $12,699.00 $12,715.31 +$978.57
(+8.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $50.23 253 $12,708.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 12:45pm ET $49.81 253 $12,601.93 $12,609.05 $-106.26
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $49.34 255 $12,581.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 3:20pm ET $49.30 255 $12,571.50 $12,598.59 $-10.46
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,598.59
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,598.59
Total Return: +25.99%
Back to Grace Crossover