Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 04:06:07

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 2.8
Storm
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
53.6 neutral
20d Trend
-3.7%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+1.1%
ATR%
2.8%
Range Pos
81%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
2.4/10
Raw Quality 2.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 2.4

30-Day Momentum

7
-1.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Steady (+5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,713
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$5,647.66
Current Value
$5,525.47
Period P&L
$-122.20
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
3 / 7
Best Trade
+1.13%
Worst Trade
-2.09%
Avg Trade Return
-0.19%
Avg Hold Time
6.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$102,840.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-122.20
Net P&L (after fees)
$-122.20
Gross Return
-2.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 REGN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $5,647.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 1:25pm ET $826.19 6 $4,957.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 12:30pm ET $834.45 6 $5,006.70 $5,682.79 +$49.56
(+1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $823.18 6 $4,939.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:05pm ET $822.07 6 $4,932.42 $5,676.13 $-6.66
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:40am ET $793.05 7 $5,551.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 2:50pm ET $796.47 7 $5,575.29 $5,700.07 +$23.94
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:55pm ET $844.84 6 $5,069.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 9:30am ET $833.79 6 $5,002.74 $5,633.74 $-66.33
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 1:10pm ET $804.02 7 $5,628.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:35pm ET $803.94 7 $5,627.58 $5,633.18 $-0.56
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:35am ET $799.63 7 $5,597.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 3:40pm ET $782.89 7 $5,480.23 $5,516.00 $-117.18
(-2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
6.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:50am ET $778.41 7 $5,448.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 10:10am ET $775.34 7 $5,427.38 $5,494.48 $-21.52
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:50am ET $786.01 6 $4,716.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 3:55pm ET $784.37 6 $4,706.22 $5,484.64 $-9.84
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $797.96 6 $4,787.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 3:45pm ET $806.96 6 $4,841.76 $5,538.64 +$54.00
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 24, 2026 2:05pm ET $796.53 6 $4,779.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $794.34 6 $4,766.04 $5,525.47 $-13.17
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $5,525.47
Net Profit/Loss: $-4,474.53
Total Return: -44.75%
Back to Grace Crossover