Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-25 02:48:50

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
12
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.9/35
Total Return
13.2/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.0/15
Consistency
6.0/10
Raw Quality 24.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 24.0

30-Day Momentum

7
-9.7%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Declining (-17 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,249.05
Current Value
$13,775.83
Period P&L
$-1,473.27
Max Drawdown
-34.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.53

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+2.64%
Worst Trade
-4.26%
Avg Trade Return
-1.10%
Avg Hold Time
15.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$257,684.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,473.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,473.27
Gross Return
-9.66%
Net Return (after fees)
-9.66%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,249.05 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 10:00am ET $26.16 582 $15,225.12
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 11:55am ET $26.00 582 $15,129.09 $15,153.07 $-96.03
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
2 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 2:20pm ET $28.17 537 $15,127.29
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $28.08 537 $15,078.96 $15,104.74 $-48.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:50am ET $28.66 527 $15,103.82
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 2:25pm ET $27.44 527 $14,460.88 $14,461.80 $-642.94
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.6h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 11:15am ET $27.38 528 $14,456.64
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:55pm ET $27.54 528 $14,541.12 $14,546.28 +$84.48
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:30am ET $26.43 550 $14,536.50
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:25am ET $25.31 550 $13,920.50 $13,930.28 $-616.00
(-4.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $24.21 575 $13,920.75
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:25pm ET $24.02 575 $13,811.50 $13,821.03 $-109.25
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $28.41 486 $13,807.26
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $27.83 486 $13,525.38 $13,539.15 $-281.88
(-2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 3:45pm ET $28.07 482 $13,529.74
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:00am ET $28.81 482 $13,886.42 $13,895.83 +$356.68
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 12:10pm ET $28.90 480 $13,872.00
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 2:40pm ET $28.65 480 $13,752.00 $13,775.83 $-120.00
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,775.83
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,775.83
Total Return: +37.76%
Back to Grace Crossover