Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 22:47:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
38.5 neutral
20d Trend
-12.5%
5d Trend
-40.4%
EMA20 Dist
-22.1%
ATR%
14.8%
Range Pos
32%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

24
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
4.9/10
Raw Quality 23.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 23.6

30-Day Momentum

9
-6.1%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$13,146.79
Current Value
$12,131.32
Period P&L
$-1,015.47
Max Drawdown
-14.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.61

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.75%
Worst Trade
-2.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.66%
Avg Hold Time
10h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$299,591.20
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,015.47
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,015.47
Gross Return
-7.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SLV Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,146.79 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 3:40pm ET $62.00 212 $13,144.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:30am ET $61.14 212 $12,961.04 $12,963.01 $-183.78
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:10pm ET $61.50 210 $12,915.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $61.43 210 $12,901.33 $12,949.13 $-13.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $62.72 206 $12,920.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:15am ET $62.06 206 $12,783.33 $12,812.14 $-136.99
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 12:15pm ET $59.98 213 $12,775.74 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 1, 2026 9:30am ET $58.35 213 $12,428.55 $12,464.95 $-347.19
(-2.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 12:00pm ET $58.79 212 $12,463.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 12:35pm ET $58.72 212 $12,447.58 $12,449.07 $-15.88
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 11:40am ET $59.83 208 $12,443.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 12:10pm ET $59.70 208 $12,418.04 $12,423.51 $-25.56
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 9:30am ET $61.19 203 $12,421.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 11:20am ET $60.47 203 $12,275.41 $12,277.35 $-146.16
(-1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:30am ET $58.68 209 $12,264.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 11:10am ET $58.08 209 $12,138.72 $12,151.93 $-125.42
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 11:35am ET $57.25 212 $12,137.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $57.40 212 $12,168.80 $12,183.73 +$31.80
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $59.05 206 $12,164.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $60.08 206 $12,377.51 $12,396.94 +$213.21
(+1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:15am ET $59.63 207 $12,342.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 11:40am ET $59.38 207 $12,290.63 $12,345.19 $-51.75
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 1:55pm ET $58.35 211 $12,310.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 24, 2026 1:35pm ET $57.33 211 $12,096.93 $12,131.32 $-213.87
(-1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,131.32
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,131.32
Total Return: +21.31%
Back to Grace Crossover