Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:08:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
45.9 neutral
20d Trend
+4.5%
5d Trend
+2.6%
EMA20 Dist
-2.9%
ATR%
6.5%
Range Pos
8%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
15.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.5/15
Consistency
5.2/10
Raw Quality 28.2/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.8

30-Day Momentum

70
+14.2%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
2.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 77.7 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+42 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$15,215.57
Current Value
$17,374.86
Period P&L
$2,159.27
Max Drawdown
-43.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+8.60%
Worst Trade
-1.26%
Avg Trade Return
+1.27%
Avg Hold Time
7.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$350,238.35
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,159.27
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,159.27
Gross Return
+14.19%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.19%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SMCI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $15,215.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:55pm ET $37.92 401 $15,207.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 2:20pm ET $37.72 401 $15,125.76 $15,133.43 $-82.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 3:10pm ET $38.47 393 $15,120.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 3:25pm ET $38.22 393 $15,022.42 $15,035.18 $-98.25
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 10:00am ET $37.43 401 $15,009.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:00pm ET $37.24 401 $14,934.64 $14,960.39 $-74.79
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:00pm ET $36.62 408 $14,938.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 10:00am ET $36.15 408 $14,751.24 $14,772.71 $-187.68
(-1.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
19h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 10:20am ET $36.87 400 $14,748.04 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 11:20am ET $39.87 400 $15,946.00 $15,970.67 +$1,197.96
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 1:35pm ET $40.93 390 $15,962.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:35pm ET $40.48 390 $15,787.20 $15,795.17 $-175.50
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 9:50am ET $38.31 412 $15,783.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:30pm ET $39.26 412 $16,175.12 $16,186.57 +$391.40
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 12:45pm ET $37.88 427 $16,174.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 1:45pm ET $37.76 427 $16,123.52 $16,135.76 $-50.81
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 9:35am ET $36.56 441 $16,122.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:30am ET $39.71 441 $17,509.91 $17,522.71 +$1,386.95
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $38.81 451 $17,501.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.78 451 $17,488.97 $17,510.62 $-12.09
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 23, 2026 11:45am ET $41.69 419 $17,469.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 2:05pm ET $41.37 419 $17,334.03 $17,374.86 $-135.76
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,374.86
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,374.86
Total Return: +73.75%
Back to Grace Crossover