Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-24 23:19:20

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
15.5 oversold
20d Trend
-26.5%
5d Trend
-20.2%
EMA20 Dist
-19.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.2/35
Total Return
9.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 16.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 16.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-11.2%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,794
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-24 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$12,865.09
Current Value
$11,339.29
Period P&L
$-1,525.76
Max Drawdown
-21.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.55

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+3.11%
Worst Trade
-4.32%
Avg Trade Return
-1.04%
Avg Hold Time
7.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$287,726.80
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,525.76
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,525.76
Gross Return
-11.86%
Net Return (after fees)
-11.86%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SNOW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $12,865.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2026 10:40am ET $328.96 39 $12,829.63 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2026 11:15am ET $326.55 39 $12,735.45 $12,770.86 $-94.19
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 2:50pm ET $315.67 40 $12,626.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 9:30am ET $307.50 40 $12,300.00 $12,444.06 $-326.80
(-2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.7h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 27, 2026 9:30am ET $321.01 38 $12,198.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2026 2:10pm ET $331.00 38 $12,578.00 $12,823.68 +$379.62
(+3.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:40am ET $326.26 39 $12,723.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:30pm ET $325.71 39 $12,702.88 $12,802.62 $-21.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
50m held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 10:45am ET $318.53 40 $12,741.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 11:55am ET $305.62 40 $12,224.80 $12,286.22 $-516.40
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 8, 2026 10:40am ET $339.46 36 $12,220.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $336.30 36 $12,106.80 $12,172.46 $-113.76
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2026 9:45am ET $337.68 36 $12,156.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 10:55am ET $332.96 36 $11,986.56 $12,002.54 $-169.92
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 11:50am ET $329.36 36 $11,857.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $328.09 36 $11,811.24 $11,956.64 $-45.90
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:45pm ET $333.70 35 $11,679.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 10:05am ET $319.27 35 $11,174.62 $11,451.76 $-504.88
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:20pm ET $333.67 34 $11,344.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $332.65 34 $11,310.10 $11,417.00 $-34.76
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 3:00pm ET $338.48 33 $11,169.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 9:30am ET $336.00 33 $11,088.00 $11,335.16 $-81.84
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.5h held
12 🟢 BUY Sep 21, 2026 11:45am ET $335.70 33 $11,077.94 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 10:45am ET $335.82 33 $11,082.06 $11,339.29 +$4.13
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
23h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,339.29
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,339.29
Total Return: +13.39%
Back to Grace Crossover