Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 1: COMPLACENT DECLINE
😴 Complacent Bear (strategies struggle)
Signals generated 2026-09-25 00:20:36

Price declining but no fear. Strategies historically underperform. Wait for fear to build.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.9/35
Total Return
16.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 38.4/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 38.3

30-Day Momentum

9
-13.9%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-29 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$21,192.63
Current Value
$19,049.50
Period P&L
$-2,143.10
Max Drawdown
-22.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.86

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
2 / 9
Best Trade
+0.15%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
-1.34%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$454,773.59
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,143.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,143.10
Gross Return
-10.11%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.11%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $21,192.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2026 2:30pm ET $18.99 1,165 $22,117.53 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2026 9:35am ET $18.22 1,165 $21,231.43 $21,232.67 $-886.10
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $18.84 1,126 $21,219.47 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 3:30pm ET $18.84 1,126 $21,215.19 $21,228.39 $-4.28
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 11:10am ET $17.91 1,185 $21,223.35 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 12:20pm ET $17.85 1,185 $21,152.25 $21,157.29 $-71.10
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 1, 2026 3:45pm ET $17.16 1,232 $21,141.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $17.02 1,232 $20,968.64 $20,984.81 $-172.48
(-0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 4, 2026 12:15pm ET $18.22 1,151 $20,971.22 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 8, 2026 9:40am ET $18.17 1,151 $20,919.42 $20,933.01 $-51.80
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $17.43 1,200 $20,922.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $17.28 1,200 $20,742.00 $20,753.01 $-180.00
(-0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $17.28 1,200 $20,742.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 14, 2026 9:30am ET $17.03 1,200 $20,436.00 $20,447.01 $-306.00
(-1.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7d held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.23 1,187 $20,446.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 3:25pm ET $17.24 1,187 $20,463.88 $20,464.81 +$17.80
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $17.29 1,183 $20,453.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 10:10am ET $16.76 1,183 $19,831.22 $19,842.91 $-621.90
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
10 🟢 BUY Sep 18, 2026 10:10am ET $16.82 1,179 $19,830.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2026 12:05pm ET $16.84 1,179 $19,860.25 $19,872.38 +$29.47
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
11 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 9:30am ET $17.85 1,112 $19,854.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 22, 2026 9:55am ET $17.11 1,112 $19,031.88 $19,049.50 $-822.88
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $19,049.50
Net Profit/Loss: +$9,049.50
Total Return: +90.50%
Back to Grace Crossover