Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-26 14:58:50

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
14.6 oversold
20d Trend
-30.9%
5d Trend
-17.8%
EMA20 Dist
-19.9%
ATR%
6.6%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

45
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.3/35
Total Return
17.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.0/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 45.2/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 44.7

30-Day Momentum

6
-13.0%
30d Return
13%
Win Rate
8
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 7.1 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-39 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,782
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-26
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$25,170.06
Current Value
$21,898.77
Period P&L
$-3,271.25
Max Drawdown
-22.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.78

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
1 / 7
Best Trade
+1.97%
Worst Trade
-4.49%
Avg Trade Return
-1.70%
Avg Hold Time
12.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$382,125.67
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,271.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,271.25
Gross Return
-13.00%
Net Return (after fees)
-13.00%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOFI Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $25,170.06 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:30am ET $16.02 1,570 $25,159.25
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:50pm ET $16.34 1,570 $25,653.64 $25,664.41 +$494.39
(+2.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 11:00am ET $18.24 1,407 $25,660.72
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $17.49 1,407 $24,608.43 $24,612.11 $-1,052.30
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 1:30pm ET $17.05 1,443 $24,600.26
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $16.74 1,443 $24,155.82 $24,167.67 $-444.44
(-1.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
20h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $16.56 1,459 $24,153.75
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $16.52 1,459 $24,102.68 $24,116.61 $-51.06
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:40pm ET $17.20 1,401 $24,104.20
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 3:55pm ET $17.16 1,401 $24,040.88 $24,053.28 $-63.33
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:35am ET $18.10 1,328 $24,039.99
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 9:40am ET $17.29 1,328 $22,961.12 $22,974.41 $-1,078.87
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $17.87 1,285 $22,962.95
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:55am ET $17.14 1,285 $22,020.14 $22,031.60 $-942.81
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2026 10:30am ET $17.41 1,265 $22,017.33
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 12:45pm ET $17.30 1,265 $21,884.50 $21,898.77 $-132.83
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $21,898.77
Net Profit/Loss: +$11,898.77
Total Return: +118.99%
Back to Grace Crossover