Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-05-09 06:34:10

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
38
Fear
VIX
17.1
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.41%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.75
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 2.6
Active
⛈️ 2 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored May 8, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.5/35
Total Return
9.3/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.5/10
Raw Quality 15.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 15.6

30-Day Momentum

12
-1.1%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 13.8 Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-09 → 2026-05-08
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,406.40
Current Value
$11,200.27
Period P&L
$-206.13
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
5 / 5
Best Trade
+0.84%
Worst Trade
-1.04%
Avg Trade Return
-0.11%
Avg Hold Time
4.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$224,472.85
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-206.13
Net P&L (after fees)
$-206.13
Gross Return
-1.81%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.81%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,406.40 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 1:40pm ET $69.25 163 $11,287.20
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $69.20 163 $11,279.60 $11,316.75 $-7.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 11:50am ET $67.48 167 $11,269.18
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:05pm ET $67.69 167 $11,305.06 $11,352.64 +$35.89
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 2:25pm ET $62.91 180 $11,323.55
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 3:05pm ET $62.50 180 $11,250.36 $11,279.45 $-73.19
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:10pm ET $58.72 192 $11,275.20
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 3:35pm ET $58.76 192 $11,282.88 $11,287.13 +$7.68
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:00am ET $57.07 197 $11,242.77
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 2:05pm ET $57.10 197 $11,247.72 $11,292.07 +$4.94
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:05am ET $55.14 204 $11,248.54
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $54.99 204 $11,217.96 $11,261.49 $-30.58
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET $52.87 213 $11,260.25
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:15pm ET $52.87 213 $11,261.31 $11,262.55 +$1.06
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $54.22 207 $11,223.54
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 1:50pm ET $53.65 207 $11,106.58 $11,145.59 $-116.96
(-1.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.3h held
9 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $50.22 221 $11,098.60
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 3:20pm ET $50.04 221 $11,059.94 $11,106.94 $-38.65
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
10 🟢 BUY May 7, 2026 12:00pm ET $45.37 244 $11,069.65
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 3:45pm ET $45.75 244 $11,162.98 $11,200.27 +$93.33
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,200.27
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,200.27
Total Return: +12.00%
Back to Grace Crossover