Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-09-25 01:30:38

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
71
Greed
VIX
14.2
LOW
10Y Yield
5.11%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.68
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored Sep 24, 2026

17
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.9/35
Total Return
9.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.6/10
Raw Quality 16.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 16.6

30-Day Momentum

7
-2.8%
30d Return
22%
Win Rate
9
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 8.6 Conf: 0.84×
Cooling (-9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-08-25 → 2026-09-24
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-09-07 — Labor Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,791.24
Current Value
$11,457.08
Period P&L
$-334.16
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.24

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
2 / 7
Best Trade
+2.56%
Worst Trade
-2.80%
Avg Trade Return
-0.31%
Avg Hold Time
13h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$209,295.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-334.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$-334.16
Gross Return
-2.83%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,791.24 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 25, 2026 1:05pm ET $39.60 297 $11,759.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2026 11:05am ET $39.49 297 $11,730.01 $11,761.54 $-29.70
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 28, 2026 10:10am ET $38.17 308 $11,757.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 28, 2026 10:25am ET $37.96 308 $11,691.68 $11,695.32 $-66.22
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 31, 2026 1:30pm ET $38.92 300 $11,677.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 31, 2026 1:40pm ET $38.83 300 $11,647.50 $11,665.32 $-30.00
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
4 🟢 BUY Sep 2, 2026 9:30am ET $40.13 290 $11,637.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 2, 2026 3:10pm ET $39.83 290 $11,550.67 $11,578.29 $-87.03
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Sep 3, 2026 3:25pm ET $38.34 301 $11,540.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 4, 2026 2:45pm ET $38.37 301 $11,547.87 $11,585.82 +$7.53
(+0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 9, 2026 2:15pm ET $38.67 299 $11,563.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 9, 2026 2:25pm ET $38.62 299 $11,548.34 $11,570.33 $-15.49
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
7 🟢 BUY Sep 14, 2026 3:10pm ET $39.49 292 $11,531.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 15, 2026 2:15pm ET $40.50 292 $11,826.00 $11,865.25 +$294.92
(+2.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.1h held
8 🟢 BUY Sep 16, 2026 2:25pm ET $39.76 298 $11,846.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 17, 2026 9:30am ET $38.64 298 $11,514.72 $11,532.98 $-332.27
(-2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 22, 2026 11:55am ET $34.23 336 $11,499.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 23, 2026 11:25am ET $34.00 336 $11,424.00 $11,457.08 $-75.90
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
23.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,457.08
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,457.08
Total Return: +14.57%
Back to Grace Crossover