Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-26 07:31:13

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
13
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.6
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.31%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.76
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
⛈️ 3.6
Severe
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 26, 2026

16
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.7/35
Total Return
9.5/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.6/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 16.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 16.0

30-Day Momentum

26
+3.5%
30d Return
36%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.9 Conf: 0.90×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-25
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None (1 market holiday)

Market Closed (1 day)

2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,994.84
Current Value
$11,305.66
Period P&L
$310.83
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+8.11%
Worst Trade
-4.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.11%
Avg Hold Time
19.1h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$270,331.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$310.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$310.83
Gross Return
+2.83%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.83%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,994.84 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 2:15pm ET $41.05 273 $11,206.65
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $40.01 273 $10,922.89 $10,927.84 $-283.76
(-2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:50am ET $39.65 275 $10,903.69
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $39.64 275 $10,900.72 $10,924.87 $-2.97
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:55pm ET $38.52 283 $10,901.13
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:35pm ET $38.09 283 $10,779.50 $10,803.24 $-121.63
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:35pm ET $37.31 289 $10,782.68
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 10:10am ET $37.25 289 $10,765.45 $10,786.02 $-17.22
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
18.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:25am ET $37.23 289 $10,759.53
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:45pm ET $37.22 289 $10,756.58 $10,783.07 $-2.95
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 3:50pm ET $37.60 286 $10,753.60
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:25am ET $40.65 286 $11,625.90 $11,655.37 +$872.30
(+8.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.74 286 $11,650.21
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 2:10pm ET $40.60 286 $11,613.03 $11,618.19 $-37.18
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $43.85 264 $11,575.08
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:05pm ET $44.01 264 $11,618.67 $11,661.78 +$43.59
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $40.85 285 $11,642.25
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 12:15pm ET $40.08 285 $11,422.80 $11,442.33 $-219.45
(-1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 2:05pm ET $36.47 313 $11,413.55
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $37.48 313 $11,731.24 $11,760.02 +$317.69
(+2.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:35am ET $36.76 319 $11,726.44
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 1:50pm ET $37.01 319 $11,806.99 $11,840.57 +$80.55
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.3h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 12:35pm ET $39.61 298 $11,803.78
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2026 9:30am ET $37.81 298 $11,268.87 $11,305.66 $-534.91
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,305.66
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,305.66
Total Return: +13.06%
Back to Grace Crossover